TRUMP plays trump card... AMERICAN ECONOMIC SUPREMe ONLY, WHITE (sexist) EVANGELICAL PROTESTANT n MARGINALISED ...
GAGASAN POLITIS Donald Trump BERDAMPAK pada EKONOMI GLOBAL, kayaknya
PERMANENT LINK | OCTOBER 8, 2012National Egoism and Vronsky Syndrome
Bryan Caplan
I was just at a conference where several eminent economists embraced the following principle:
It was frustrating to listen. On the one hand, any philosophy professor could instantly produce devastating counter-examples to this principle of national egoism. For starters:
1. If conquering and enslaving Canada would increase American per-capita GDP, should we therefore conquer and enslave Canada?
2. If we could forever end world poverty by reducing American per-capita GDP by a penny, should we refuse to end world poverty?
3. If we could costlessly exterminate all Americans who produce a below-average quantity of GDP, should we exterminate them?
At the same time, though, I was virtually certain that if I raised these counter-examples, the promoters of the principle would accuse me of attacking an absurd straw man. "Of course we don't favor enslaving Canada, maintaining world poverty, or mass murdering Americans of below-average productivity." How could I be so dense as to criticize what they actually said instead of what they vaguely meant?
After the conference, I spent a lot of time reflecting on the mentality of the avowed national egoists I'd encountered. Before long I remembered one of my favorite passages in Anna Karenina:
The lesson: National egoists are hardly alone. They're just one prominent example of what could be called Vronsky Syndrome. The general pattern: They swallow conventional morality whole. They don't search for inconsistencies. Indeed, if you point out their inconsistencies, they act like you're the clueless one. As a result, they rarely wonder if they're in the wrong - and habitually embrace popular evils, guilt-free.
The United States should adopt whatever policies maximize the per-capita GDP of the existing population of the United States, and their descendents.
Vronsky's life was particularly happy in that he had a code of principles, which defined with unfailing certitude what he ought and what he ought not to do. This code of principles covered only a very small circle of contingencies, but then the principles were never doubtful, and Vronsky, as he never went outside that circle, had never had a moment's hesitation about doing what he ought to do. These principles laid down as invariable rules: that one must pay a cardsharper, but need not pay a tailor; that one must never tell a lie to a man, but one may to a woman; that one must never cheat any one, but one may a husband; that one must never pardon an insult, but one may give one and so on. These principles were possibly not reasonable and not good, but they were of unfailing certainty, and so long as he adhered to them, Vronsky felt that his heart was at peace and he could hold his head up.
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Merdeka.com - Tim ahli hukum dan etik kemarin mengajukan tuntutan terhadap Presiden Donald Trump ke pengadilan federal karena menilai bisnis Trump di luar negeri sudah melanggar Konstitusi. Aturan konstitusi AS menyatakan presiden dilarang meraup keuntungan bisnis dari pemerintah luar negeri.
Tim ahli itu mengajukan permohonan agar pengadilan menghentikan Presiden Trump dari melanggar Konstitusi karena menerima keuntungan bisnis dari pemerintah luar negeri.
"Ketika dia menjadi presiden dan melakukan perjanjian perdagangan dengan negara lain, maka rakyat Amerika tidak bakal tahu apakah dia juga berpikir untuk meraih keuntungan buat bisnisnya," kata tim tersebut dalam tuntutannya, seperti dilansir situs NPR.org, Senin (23/1).
Di antara salah satu anggota tim ahli itu adalah mantan penasihat etik Gedung Putih pada masa Presiden George W. Bush, Richard Painter.
"Hanya beberapa blok saja dari Gedung Putih, ada Trump Hotel. Selama ini ada kontroversi yang menyebut hotel itu menekan pemerintah untuk meninggalkan hotel lain di Washington supaya datang ke hotel Trump. Meski tuduhan itu belum terbukti, Trump Hotel di D.C tentu mencari keuntungan bisnis dari pemerintah luar negeri. Saat Trump menjadi presiden dan sudah diambil sumpahnya maka itu menjadi pelanggaran terhadap Konstitusi," kata mantan penasihat etik Presiden Barack Obama, Norman Eisen.
[pan]
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JAKARTA, KOMPAS.com - Menteri Keuangan (Menkeu) Sri Mulyani masih mencermati dinamika ekonomi Amerika Serikat (AS) di bawah kepemimpinan baru Presiden Donald Trump. Terlebih, diperkirakan AS akan membuat berbagai kebijakan yang proteksionis.
"Kami akan lihat antisipasinya. Kalau pertumbuhannya positif tapi dari kebijakan moneter dan dari sisi kebijakan perdagangannya negatif, maka nett effect-nya ke dunia juga akan kami lihat," ujar Menkeu di Jakarta, Jumat (13/1/2017).
Menurut mantan Direktur Pelaksana Bank Dunia itu, ekspansi perekonomian dan pertumbuhan ekonomi AS yang positif tidak selalu membawa dampak positif kepada dunia bila dikombinasikan dengan berbagai kebijakan yang proteksionis.
Dari awal kampanyenya, sejumlah rencana proteksi ekonomi sudah ia sampaikan. Misalnya dia ingin melakukan renegosiasi NAFTA yang selama ini menjadi pengikat kerjasama perdagangan antara Kanada, AS dan Meksiko.
Selain itu, untuk mengurangi masuknya barang dari Meksiko, Trump berencana membangun pagar di bagian selatan negara itu yang berbatasan dengan Meksiko.
Dengan China, Trump ingin menaikkan tarif hingga 45 persen agar barang-barang dari negara itu bisa dihambat masuk. Berbagai kebijakan itu tinggi berpotensi menghambat perekonomian negara-negara berkembang, termasuk Indonesia.
Ekonomi Indonesia juga tergantung pada China. Ketika ekonomi negaru Tirai Bambu itu melambat, ekspor komoditas asal Indonesia ke negara itu juga bakal terdampak.
"Oleh karena itu kita bisa mengantisispasi kebijakan moneternya mencoba menetralisir," kata perempuan kelahiran Lampung 54 tahun silam itu.
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The theory of the two extremes in Greek politicsSeptember 29, 2013
The governing party of New Democracy -one of the two parties of the coalition government in Greece along with PASOK- has meticulously developed a communication strategy since mid-summer that was aiming to equalize the dangers of the extreme right party Golden Dawn with the front opposition leftist party SYRIZA in the quest of maximizing its direct electorate profits through the polarization of the political system and, mainly, of the Greek society. Is this policy going to be profitable for New Democracy and increase its polling stats or it is going to be a backfire for social stability in the country?It goes without saying that austerity politics and social unrest are a fatal mixture in Greece since 2010 and the tremendous downturn of the economy. The first political strike against the decision of the government of PASOK in 2009 to seek for foreign aid through bailout plans in order to save the country from bankruptcy and the Memoranda of Agreement with troika since 2010, that have led to massive layoffs from the private and public sector, the incessant rise of unemployment and poverty rates, the continuous increase of taxation and the spending cuts in salaries and pensions, came through the double elections of May and June 2012 that ended up with a complete polarization of the political scene and the entrance of extreme right in the Greek Parliament. The party of Golden Dawn has achieved to enter the mainstream political scene with a percentage of almost 7% that is considered to be a unprecedented breakthrough for extreme right in Greek political history. Since then, official polls are showing a stable increase of the party’s percentage which in mid-summer reached something around 11%.
In response to the continuous rise of Golden Dawn and in quest of minimizing the effect and appeal of front opposition SYRIZA in the Greek society, the communication team of PM Mr. Samaras launched the theory of the two extremes by equalizing the dangers for political destabilization from both Golden Dawn and SYRIZA. In order to analyze the mindset of this theory, it is important to split it into two parts and focus on both the political / strategic approach and the ethical approach.
From a political / strategic approach, the decision to initiate the theory of the two extremes can be characterized as politically permissible or tolerable per se,as the major scope is to maximize the electorate profits for the party. In a strongly polarized Greek society, this strategy could bring some efficient results that, aligned with a certain propaganda from the press team and the proxy medias of the government, could give a significant breath in the hard semester that follows. Such strategies and propagandas are familiar in modern political history, especially in pre-election campaigns, with the parties that decide to act relevantly to finally strengthen and coil up electorate leakage absorbed by other political parties.
From an ethical perspective, we need to point out that such a theory might strongly entail significant perils when it comes to count for social stability. In a society which is deeply affected by austerity politics and recession, the equalization of the major oppositional parties of Golden Dawn and SYRIZA as “extremities” and dangerous for the democracy and social stability is considered as scarcely justified. In the eyes of the public such an equation can be misleading and destructive, let alone the fact that it weakens the legitimate political debate and the real drawbacks of a certain governmental policy. And here is when democracy and absolutism are starting to get blurred and barely discernible.
Furthermore, we need to stress out that this theory can be equally englobed in a wider circle of acts of distraction that the government is initiating in order to save political time and smooth social unrest stirred by the introduction of additional measures that the Greek government might be possibly obliged to take following the conclusion of negotiations with troika regarding the performance of the Greek economy. In this respect, it goes without saying that as long as the Greek economic policy and performance show no signs of improvement, we might see the same play again and again.
THE TRUMP TRANSITION
– Presiden Amerika Serikat (AS) yang sebentar lagi mengakhiri masa jabatannya, Barack Obama mengingatkan semua negara agar tidak terlalu resah terhadap kampanye Presiden Terpilih Donald Trump yang dinilai bakal menerapkan kebijakan proteksionis.
Obama mengatakan hal itu ketika ditanya Wakil Presiden RI Jusuf Kalla tentang masa depan AS di sela-sela Konferensi Tingkat Tinggi Kerja Sama Ekonomi Asia-Pasifik (APEC) di Lima, Peru.
"Saya tadi bicara dengan Obama. Pertanyaan saya tentang kampanye Trump (Donald Trump, Presiden terpilih AS)," katanya seusai penutupan KTT APEC di Ibu Kota Peru itu, Minggu sore (Senin WIB), seperti dilansir Antara.
Menurut Kalla, Obama mengingatkan semua negara agar tidak terlalu resah terhadap kampanye Trump yang dinilai bakal menerapkan kebijakan proteksionis.
"Saya tanya, apakah Trump merealisasikan 50% (program) kampanyenya ataukah di bawahnya? Obama jawab, di bawah 50%. Jadi, saya yang buat angka (persentase) agar dia (mudah) jawab," ujar Kalla.
Menurut Kalla, topik pembicaraan KTT APEC di Lima itu lebih banyak pada kebijakan AS di bawah pemerintahan Trump pada tahun depan.
"Semua negara memang sudah mengantisipasinya agar tidak terjadi perang dagang, tapi memang AS itu konsumen terbesar," kata Wapres.
Selain dengan Obama, Kalla juga sempat berbicara dengan Perdana Menteri Jepang Shinzo Abe.
"Jepang tanya kepada kita, mana lagi yang perlu dibantu. Dia sangat terbuka untuk bantu kita. Tapi kitanya yang memperlambat," ujarnya seraya menyebutkan beberapa proyek di Indonesia yang dibiayai Jepang.
Kalla menjelaskan bahwa KTT APEC telah menghasilkan komunike sebanyak 350 baris yang memuat banyak hal, termasuk komitmen bersama untuk mewujudkan perdagangan bebas tanpa diskriminasi sebagaimana yang dicita-citakan para deklarator APEC di Bogor (Bogor Goals) pada 1994.
"Indonesia selalu jadi bagian pokok APEC karena tujuan APEC itu mengacu ke Bogor. Maka dari itu, Indonesia selalu....seperti keterbukaan perdgangan dan industri mengacu ’Bogor Goals’ dalam setiap KTT APEC," katanya.
KTT APEC Peru dihadiri 21 pemimpin ekonomi yang digelar pada 14-20 November 2016.
Penutupan KTT APEC tersebut ditandai dengan penyerahan keketuaan APEC dari Presiden Peru Pedro Pablo Kuczynski kepada Presiden Republik Sosialis Vietnam Tran Dai Quang. (gor)
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LIMA
NEW YORK - Healthcare is the top issue Americans want Donald Trump to address during his first 100 days in the White House, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Thursday, an apparent rebuke of outgoing President Barack Obama's signature reform, Obamacare.
Some 21 percent of Americans want Trump to focus on the healthcare system when he enters the White House on Jan. 20, according to the Nov. 9-14 poll, conducted in the week after the Republican won the U.S. presidential election.
Jobs took second place with 16 percent of Americans hoping it would be Trump's first agenda item, while immigration came third - picked by 14 percent of Americans, according to the poll. Some 11 percent picked race relations.
[Graphic: What should Trump prioritize in his first 100 days? tmsnrt.rs/2fZRP4V]
The poll shows what priorities Americans would set on the new president, but it does not measure exactly what people want him to do. A separate Kaiser Health Tracking Poll found in late October that most Americans want cheaper prescription drugs and access to larger networks of doctors and hospitals. Only a minority, 37 percent, want to repeal Obamacare altogether and start over, as Trump has promised to do.
"We can't afford it -- that's the problem," said Daphne Saunders, 50, of LaFollette, Tennessee, who took the Reuters/Ipsos poll, explaining why she picked healthcare as the top issue.
Saunders lost her employer-subsidized insurance when she left a job at a university in 2011 and has been paying roughly $300 per month since then for check-ups and prescription drugs to manage a heart condition and diabetes.
She said the cheapest Obamacare plan would cost her $450 per month with a $50 co-pay every time she saw a doctor.
"Those premiums should be more manageable," Saunders said. "I would expect to pay no more than $100" per month.
Obama's 2010 Affordable Care Act has been credited with expanding coverage to as many as 25 million people. But the law has been weakened through various legal challenges. Some of the biggest health insurers have pulled out of insurance exchanges after losing money, and insurance premiums have increased for those who do not receive government insurance subsidies.
Trump has promised to repeal Obamacare with "something that works," though he has not articulated what he would propose in its place. It is also not clear how swiftly a Trump administration and Republican-controlled Congress could change the law.
Obama said this week he would endorse a Trump plan if it improved the healthcare system while insuring the same number of people.
GETTING USED TO 'PRESIDENT TRUMP'
The poll also found that Americans have mostly accepted the result of the Nov. 8 election, after one of the most divisive campaigns in memory. Some 85 percent said they accept the results as legitimate, and 63 percent said they would support the new president.
Obama mengatakan hal itu ketika ditanya Wakil Presiden RI Jusuf Kalla tentang masa depan AS di sela-sela Konferensi Tingkat Tinggi Kerja Sama Ekonomi Asia-Pasifik (APEC) di Lima, Peru.
"Saya tadi bicara dengan Obama. Pertanyaan saya tentang kampanye Trump (Donald Trump, Presiden terpilih AS)," katanya seusai penutupan KTT APEC di Ibu Kota Peru itu, Minggu sore (Senin WIB), seperti dilansir Antara.
Menurut Kalla, Obama mengingatkan semua negara agar tidak terlalu resah terhadap kampanye Trump yang dinilai bakal menerapkan kebijakan proteksionis.
"Saya tanya, apakah Trump merealisasikan 50% (program) kampanyenya ataukah di bawahnya? Obama jawab, di bawah 50%. Jadi, saya yang buat angka (persentase) agar dia (mudah) jawab," ujar Kalla.
Menurut Kalla, topik pembicaraan KTT APEC di Lima itu lebih banyak pada kebijakan AS di bawah pemerintahan Trump pada tahun depan.
"Semua negara memang sudah mengantisipasinya agar tidak terjadi perang dagang, tapi memang AS itu konsumen terbesar," kata Wapres.
Selain dengan Obama, Kalla juga sempat berbicara dengan Perdana Menteri Jepang Shinzo Abe.
"Saya tadi bicara dengan Obama. Pertanyaan saya tentang kampanye Trump (Donald Trump, Presiden terpilih AS)," katanya seusai penutupan KTT APEC di Ibu Kota Peru itu, Minggu sore (Senin WIB), seperti dilansir Antara.
Menurut Kalla, Obama mengingatkan semua negara agar tidak terlalu resah terhadap kampanye Trump yang dinilai bakal menerapkan kebijakan proteksionis.
"Saya tanya, apakah Trump merealisasikan 50% (program) kampanyenya ataukah di bawahnya? Obama jawab, di bawah 50%. Jadi, saya yang buat angka (persentase) agar dia (mudah) jawab," ujar Kalla.
Menurut Kalla, topik pembicaraan KTT APEC di Lima itu lebih banyak pada kebijakan AS di bawah pemerintahan Trump pada tahun depan.
"Semua negara memang sudah mengantisipasinya agar tidak terjadi perang dagang, tapi memang AS itu konsumen terbesar," kata Wapres.
Selain dengan Obama, Kalla juga sempat berbicara dengan Perdana Menteri Jepang Shinzo Abe.
"Jepang tanya kepada kita, mana lagi yang perlu dibantu. Dia sangat terbuka untuk bantu kita. Tapi kitanya yang memperlambat," ujarnya seraya menyebutkan beberapa proyek di Indonesia yang dibiayai Jepang.
Kalla menjelaskan bahwa KTT APEC telah menghasilkan komunike sebanyak 350 baris yang memuat banyak hal, termasuk komitmen bersama untuk mewujudkan perdagangan bebas tanpa diskriminasi sebagaimana yang dicita-citakan para deklarator APEC di Bogor (Bogor Goals) pada 1994.
"Indonesia selalu jadi bagian pokok APEC karena tujuan APEC itu mengacu ke Bogor. Maka dari itu, Indonesia selalu....seperti keterbukaan perdgangan dan industri mengacu ’Bogor Goals’ dalam setiap KTT APEC," katanya.
KTT APEC Peru dihadiri 21 pemimpin ekonomi yang digelar pada 14-20 November 2016.
Penutupan KTT APEC tersebut ditandai dengan penyerahan keketuaan APEC dari Presiden Peru Pedro Pablo Kuczynski kepada Presiden Republik Sosialis Vietnam Tran Dai Quang. (gor)
Kalla menjelaskan bahwa KTT APEC telah menghasilkan komunike sebanyak 350 baris yang memuat banyak hal, termasuk komitmen bersama untuk mewujudkan perdagangan bebas tanpa diskriminasi sebagaimana yang dicita-citakan para deklarator APEC di Bogor (Bogor Goals) pada 1994.
"Indonesia selalu jadi bagian pokok APEC karena tujuan APEC itu mengacu ke Bogor. Maka dari itu, Indonesia selalu....seperti keterbukaan perdgangan dan industri mengacu ’Bogor Goals’ dalam setiap KTT APEC," katanya.
KTT APEC Peru dihadiri 21 pemimpin ekonomi yang digelar pada 14-20 November 2016.
Penutupan KTT APEC tersebut ditandai dengan penyerahan keketuaan APEC dari Presiden Peru Pedro Pablo Kuczynski kepada Presiden Republik Sosialis Vietnam Tran Dai Quang. (gor)
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ALSO IN U.S.
The 2016 campaign appears also to have mostly energized the public. Some 45 percent of Americans say they "feel more motivated" to vote in future elections, and 42 percent are more motivated to read and inform themselves about politics.
A majority of Americans still think the country is headed on the wrong track, however, and their expectations for a Trump presidency differed according to party membership.
Most Republicans were optimistic about his presidency, while most Democrats were pessimistic.
Overall, a plurality of Americans believe Trump will be helpful for businesses and corporations, military veterans, people who work in the manufacturing industry, the middle class and the elderly. A plurality also believes that he will be harmful for gays, women, blacks, Hispanics, and people living in poverty.
The Reuters/Ipsos poll is conducted online in English in all 50 states. It included 1,782 American adults and has a credibility interval, a measure of accuracy, of 3 percentage points.
(Editing by Richard Valdmanis and Alistair Bell)
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New York, Nov 15, 2016 (AFP)
Donald Trump huddled with Vice president-elect Mike Pence on Tuesday to nail down their next round of cabinet appointments, amid reports of intense infighting over the key posts.
The Republican billionaire drew a barrage of criticism over his pick of chief strategist: the anti-establishment firebrand Steve Bannon, onetime head of the provocative Breitbart website seen by critics as a darling of white supremacists.
And his transition team has faced a string of setbacks as it tackles the daunting task of building an administration with the clout to support the 70-year-old political novice when he takes office in just nine weeks.
The first shake-up came last Friday, when the president-elect reshuffled the team, placing Pence in charge. Then on Tuesday, the transition team's head of national security, Mike Rogers, resigned in what was interpreted as a new sign of disarray.
In a statement, the former congressman said he was "proud of the team that we assembled at Trump for America to produce meaningful policy, personnel and agency action guidance on the complex national security challenges facing our great country," and was now "pleased to hand off our work" to a new team.
Further reinforcing the impression of tensions, The New York Times reported Tuesday that Trump had removed from the transition team a second top defense and foreign policy official, consultant Matthew Freedman.
The high-stakes process of filling more than a dozen cabinet posts has been tumultuous by many accounts. One source cited by CNN described the intense lobbying as a "knife fight."
Former New York mayor Rudy Giuliani, hawkish former UN ambassador John Bolton, retired general Michael Flynn and Alabama Senator Jeff Sessions are all reported to be on the shortlist for a top job.
Pence made no comment to the media as he arrived at Trump Tower -- which has been a hive of activity since last Tuesday's vote.
- Giuliani for State? -
Jason Miller, a transition communications adviser, told reporters at the building in Manhattan that Trump and Pence would be "reviewing a number of names" for cabinet positions.
He gave few details on the new candidates under consideration, saying: "You can't believe everything you read."
Miller added: "There will be non-traditional names, a number of people who have had wide-ranging success in a number of different fields... People will be excited when they see the type of leaders the president-elect brings into this administration."
According to a top Trump aide, Giuliani has emerged as a "serious" contender to become the next secretary of state.
But CNN reported that Team Trump was looking into whether his business ties -- including work as a lobbyist for a Venezuelan oil firm -- could complicate his confirmation in the role.
Giuliani, a member of Trump's inner circle, had been considered a leading candidate for attorney general, but at a public forum in Washington on Monday, he said he would not be heading the Justice Department.
"His name has been mentioned in a serious way in connection with secretary of state, a job that he's qualified for and a job that he would do exceedingly well," Kellyanne Conway, Trump's campaign manager, said Tuesday on Fox News.
The 72-year-old Giuliani was mayor of New York on 9/11, and his decisive leadership after the World Trade Center's twin towers were toppled in the September 2001 attacks made him a national hero.
The crime-fighting former prosecutor made a bid for the Republican presidential nomination in 2008 but withdrew after learning he had prostate cancer.
- Or could it be Bolton? -
Bolton, a neo-conservative hawk and former undersecretary of state, also was reported to be in the running for the top diplomatic post.
"John would be a very good choice," Giuliani said at the forum sponsored by The Wall Street Journal.
Asked if there were anybody better, Giuliani quipped: "Maybe me, I don't know."
Bolton made no mention of his chances in an interview Tuesday with Fox News but seemed like he was auditioning for it, weighing in heavily on US relations with Moscow the day after Trump called Russian President Vladimir Putin.
"I think one of the reasons that Putin is very casual about expanding Russian influence, taking advantage of America in Eastern Europe and the Middle East is that he sees, quite correctly, Barack Obama as an exceedingly weak leader," he said.
"I think Trump is going to be the opposite."
Bolton was a controversial choice for UN envoy in 2005, having once said if the UN headquarters lost 10 floors, "it wouldn't make a bit of difference."
- Trump torn -
Also in the mix is Senator Sessions of Alabama, an early Trump supporter who is reported to be under consideration for attorney general, secretary of defense or head of the Department of Homeland Security.
Sessions has been a fierce advocate for restrictions on immigration, but was once rejected for a federal judgeship after officials testified he made racist remarks, The New York Times reported.
Also expected to find a spot on Trump's governing team is retired general Flynn, a possible national security advisor pick.
On Sunday, Trump named Reince Priebus, a mainstream Republican operative who backed Trump while chairman of the Republican National Committee, as his White House chief of staff.
Trump's choice of Priebus -- announced at the same time as Bannon -- suggested a leader torn between a promise to shake up Washington and the need to build a cabinet with political experience and connections with Congress.
bur-ec/acb
<org idsrc="isin" value="US1248572026">CBS CORPORATION</org>
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Washington, Aug 8, 2016 (AFP)
Republican Donald Trump said Monday he would slash taxes, block onerous financial regulations and unleash the energy sector as he pledged to "jump-start America" with a new economic plan if he is elected president.
The brash billionaire unveiled his proposals in a speech in economically depressed Detroit as he resets his campaign and focuses on policies that draw a sharp contrast with Hillary Clinton.
"We are in a competition with the world, and I want America to win," Trump told the Detroit Economic Club, as he highlighted "disastrous" policies that he said have snuffed out US jobs in the nearly eight years of Barack Obama's presidency.
"I want to jump-start America. It can be done, and it won't even be that hard," he said.
Trump laid out a series of policies to revitalize a limping economic engine, including a sharp reduction of corporate tax from 35 percent to 15 percent, something he floated back in September as a way to lure back US corporations that relocated abroad.
He would also set a 10 percent tax on the "trillions of dollars from American businesses that is now parked overseas" and gets repatriated into the United States.
Personal taxes would drop too, with the top rate at 33 percent, compared with 39.6 percent today.
Trump said he wants to "cut regulations massively," a move he said would lift the "anchor" weighing down small businesses, something Republicans have sought for years during Obama's tenure.
The 70-year-old real estate mogul also proposed repealing the estate tax, the controversial levy on the estates of the deceased valued at above $5.45 million.
"American workers have paid taxes their whole lives, and they should not be taxed again at death -- it's just plain wrong," Trump said.
The speech was interrupted more than a dozen times by protesters, who were escorted out by security.
- 'Trickle down economics?' -
As he pivots away from recent controversy about his campaign, Trump portrayed Clinton as the "nominee from yesterday."
"There will be no change under Hillary Clinton -- only four more years of Obama," he warned. "But we are going to look boldly into the future."
Clinton, he said, offers more of the same: "more taxes, more regulations, more bureaucrats, more restrictions on American energy."
Republican Senator David Purdue praised Trump's plan as "a bold vision" from "an outsider and businessman who is listening to the American people."
But Clinton, a 68-year-old former secretary of state and senator, has enjoyed a strong bounce in polls since officially becoming the Democratic nominee last month, the first time a woman has become the flagbearer of a major US party.
A Monmouth University Poll released Monday shows Clinton ahead of Trump by double digits, 46 percent to 34 percent -- a dramatic increase from the three-point lead she held days before the Republican convention.
Clinton used her rally in St. Petersburg, Florida as an opportunity to savage Trump's economic plan rollout as his effort to "repackage trickle down economics."
"His tax plans will give super big tax breaks to large corporations and the really wealthy," she said.
"I am not going to raise taxes on the middle class, but with your help we are going to raise it on the wealthy, because that's where the money is!"
She cited a study by Mark Zandi, a former economic advisor to Republican Senator John McCain, which predicted that under Trump's plan, the economy would shed 3.4 million jobs and tumble into recession.
"Economists left, right, in the middle all say the same things, that Trump's policies would throw us into a recession," she said.
Clinton has spent several days attacking Trump on the economy.
She has also ventured into America's so-called "Rust Belt" seeking to win over white working-class voters in areas that have suffered factory closures.
The nation's unemployment rate stood at 4.9 percent in July, a substantial decline from the peak of about 10 percent in October 2009 after a major recession, according to federal statistics.
But Trump insisted the economy was lagging badly and that letting an insider like Clinton guide the economic ship would only exacerbate the problem.
"We can't fix a rigged system by relying on the people who rigged it in the first place," Trump warned.
"A Trump administration will end this war on the American worker," he said, noting in particular that Obama's "anti-energy regulations" have destroyed millions of jobs.
Trump's plan to revitalize the energy industry, including coal, would "open a new chapter in American prosperity," he said.
He renewed his opposition to the proposed Trans-Pacific Partnership trade pact backed by the Obama administration, insisting Washington will withdraw from the deal.
"Americanism, not globalism, will be our new credo," he said.
Women have been avoiding the businesses more than men
MEDIA MATTERS STAFF
The two have both frequently disrespected Catholic values
INDIANAPOLIS (AP) — Donald Trump virtually clinched the Republican nomination for president Tuesday night, a stunning victory for the brash billionaire who was considered more a celebrity curiosity than a serious candidate when he entered the race less than a year ago. He soundly defeated Ted Cruz, his last real rival, in the Indiana primary and the Texas senator quickly dropped out.“Thank you Indiana, we were just projected to be the winner,” said Trump, still highly controversial in his own party but a long shot no more.Trump still must win about 200 more delegates to clinch the nomination. But his victory in Indiana — where he picked up at least 45 of the state’s 57 delegates — made it all but impossible for Cruz to block him from doing so.Cruz told a somber crowd in Indianapolis: I’ve said I would continue on as long as there was a viable path to victory; tonight I’m sorry to say it appears that path has been foreclosed.”Cruz campaigned aggressively in Indiana, but could not overcome Trump. The billionaire businessman has stunned the Republican Party with his appeal to voters deeply frustrated with Washington and their own party’s leaders.Before Tuesday’s results, Cruz had vowed to stay in the race through the final primaries in June, clinging to the possibility that Trump would fall short of the 1,237 delegates he needs and the race would go to a contested convention.Trump now faces pressure to unite a Republican Party that has been roiled by his candidacy. But whether he can accomplish that remains deeply uncertain.Even before the Indiana results were finalized, some conservative leaders were planning a Wednesday meeting to assess the viability of launching a third party candidacy to compete with Trump in the fall.One outside group trying to stop Trump suggested it would shift its attention to helping Republicans in other races. Rory Cooper, a senior adviser to the Never Trump super PAC, said the group will help protect “Republican incumbents and down-ballot candidates, by distinguishing their values and principles from that of Trump, and protecting them from a wave election.”Only about half of Indiana’s Republican primary voters said they were excited or even optimistic about any of their remaining candidates becoming president, according to exit polls. Still, most said they probably would support whoever won for the GOP.Clinton, too, needs to win over Sanders’ enthusiastic supporters. The Vermont senator has cultivated a deeply loyal following in particular among young people, a group Democrats count on in the general election.Sanders has conceded his strategy hinges on persuading superdelegates to back him over the former secretary of state. Superdelegates are Democratic Party insiders who can support the candidate of their choice, regardless of how their states vote. And they favor Clinton by a nearly 18-1 margin.Exit polls showed about 7 in 10 Indiana Democrats said they’d be excited or at least optimistic about either a Clinton or Sanders presidency. Most said they would support either in November.The exit polls were conducted by Edison Research for The Associated Press and television networks.A fall showdown between Clinton and Trump would pit one of Democrats’ most experienced political figures against a first-time candidate who is deeply divisive within his own party. Cruz and other Republicans have argued that Trump would be roundly defeated in the general election, denying their party the White House for a third straight term.Trump has now won seven straight primary contests and has 80 percent of the delegates needed to secure the GOP nomination. With his victory in Indiana, Trump now has at least 1,041 delegates. Cruz has 565 and Ohio Gov. John Kasich has 152.___Pace reported from Washington. Associated Press writer Stephen Ohlemacher contributed to this report from Washington.
Women Are Already Punished for Trying to End Their Pregnancies
By making legal abortion less and less accessible, anti-choice groups have pushed many women into a legal gray zone.
By Zoë Carpenter
It’s more than just a couple of retweets.
It’s a pattern
Is Trump's momentum unstoppable after Super Tuesday wins?
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Protests spill into streets
Trump responds
2016 hopefuls blast Trump
Heightened tensions at rallies
Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas led off his address at this year’s Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) Friday by highlighting the absence of 2016 GOP presidential rival Donald Trump, who has cancelled his planned Saturday appearance.
“So Donald Trump is skipping CPAC. I bet somebody told him Megyn Kelly was going to be here. Or even worse, he was told there were conservatives that were going to be here,” Mr. Cruz said.
Mr. Cruz, who is pitching himself as the only conservative in the race who can stop Mr. Trump’s path to the nomination, was greeted by a screaming crowd and chants of “Ted! Ted! Ted!” before he even spoke.
“Or even worse, he was told there were libertarians who were going to be here,” Mr. Cruz said to cheers. “Or even worse, they were told there were young people who were going to be here.”
Mr. Trump’s campaign said earlier Friday that his Saturday schedule, which includes stops in Kansas and Florida, won’t allow him to speak at CPAC.
“Mr. Trump would like to thank Matt Schlapp and all of the executives at CPAC and looks forward to returning to next year, hopefully as president of the United States,” the campaign said.
Mr. Cruz urged conservatives who don’t want Mr. Trump to be the party’s nominee to coalesce around his own campaign, and said the billionaire businessman hasn’t been reliable on issues like immigration.
“I’m told that Donald Trump talks a fair amount about immigration,” he said. “There’s a natural question to ask. During the Gang of Eight battle, where was Donald?”
“Well, sadly, worse than nowhere,” he said. “Donald was funding the Gang of Eight. He gave over $50,000 to five of the eight members of the Gang of Eight.”
Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas led off his address at this year’s Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) Friday by highlighting the absence of 2016 GOP presidential rival Donald Trump, who has cancelled his planned Saturday appearance.
“So Donald Trump is skipping CPAC. I bet somebody told him Megyn Kelly was going to be here. Or even worse, he was told there were conservatives that were going to be here,” Mr. Cruz said.
Mr. Cruz, who is pitching himself as the only conservative in the race who can stop Mr. Trump’s path to the nomination, was greeted by a screaming crowd and chants of “Ted! Ted! Ted!” before he even spoke.
“Or even worse, he was told there were libertarians who were going to be here,” Mr. Cruz said to cheers. “Or even worse, they were told there were young people who were going to be here.”
Mr. Trump’s campaign said earlier Friday that his Saturday schedule, which includes stops in Kansas and Florida, won’t allow him to speak at CPAC.
“Mr. Trump would like to thank Matt Schlapp and all of the executives at CPAC and looks forward to returning to next year, hopefully as president of the United States,” the campaign said.
Mr. Cruz urged conservatives who don’t want Mr. Trump to be the party’s nominee to coalesce around his own campaign, and said the billionaire businessman hasn’t been reliable on issues like immigration.
“I’m told that Donald Trump talks a fair amount about immigration,” he said. “There’s a natural question to ask. During the Gang of Eight battle, where was Donald?”
“Well, sadly, worse than nowhere,” he said. “Donald was funding the Gang of Eight. He gave over $50,000 to five of the eight members of the Gang of Eight.”
Ten Reasons to Not Elect Donald Trump
As 2016 approaches, Republicans are salivating over the hopes and dreams that Hillary Clinton will be defeated by someone the Republicans select to run against her. Per usual, the Republican side of the aisle is a hot mess. They have candidates on top of candidates, sitting on top of candidates. They have everyone from pastors to celebrities looking to run for POTUS; it’s like Gary Coleman and pornographic actresses running against Arnold in California. It stands out as a huge joke. The craziest punchline, however, is actually in one of the Republicans’ most serious presidential prospects: Donald Trump.
Trump is someone the entire world knows, and thus the entire world knows that he’s a blowhard in a bad hairpiece. Even still, some misguided Republicans out there actually believe the man would make a great president. Oh, those poor, lost people. It’s hard to be angry at people you should probably feel sorry for. Since Republicans cannot seem to figure these things out for themselves, let’s examine some reasons why Donald Trump would be a horrific president and actually harm America indefinitely.
As 2016 approaches, Republicans are salivating over the hopes and dreams that Hillary Clinton will be defeated by someone the Republicans select to run against her. Per usual, the Republican side of the aisle is a hot mess. They have candidates on top of candidates, sitting on top of candidates. They have everyone from pastors to celebrities looking to run for POTUS; it’s like Gary Coleman and pornographic actresses running against Arnold in California. It stands out as a huge joke. The craziest punchline, however, is actually in one of the Republicans’ most serious presidential prospects: Donald Trump.
Trump is someone the entire world knows, and thus the entire world knows that he’s a blowhard in a bad hairpiece. Even still, some misguided Republicans out there actually believe the man would make a great president. Oh, those poor, lost people. It’s hard to be angry at people you should probably feel sorry for. Since Republicans cannot seem to figure these things out for themselves, let’s examine some reasons why Donald Trump would be a horrific president and actually harm America indefinitely.
Ten Reasons to Not Elect Donald Trump
1: The Man is a Jest
Donald Trump is not a serious political figure who commands respect. He’s a joke, a bad one at that, who hosts a television show and builds crappy hotels and ugly golf courses. He’s the punchline of the world, quite literally, as he was once the honorary punching bag of a celebrity roast. He has no shame and even less professionalism. Donald Trump as president makes the whole of America look like a joke.
Donald Trump is not a serious political figure who commands respect. He’s a joke, a bad one at that, who hosts a television show and builds crappy hotels and ugly golf courses. He’s the punchline of the world, quite literally, as he was once the honorary punching bag of a celebrity roast. He has no shame and even less professionalism. Donald Trump as president makes the whole of America look like a joke.
2: His “Values” are Actually Bigoted
Many Republicans are seal-clapping in anticipation that a religious conservative will actually get to have his views forced upon America. For the rest of us, however, this is a scary prospect. Trump believes marriage to be between one man and one woman, which means he’s openly bigoted against the LGBT community and the rights of same-sex couples. Donald Trump as president sends America’s progress back 50 years!
Many Republicans are seal-clapping in anticipation that a religious conservative will actually get to have his views forced upon America. For the rest of us, however, this is a scary prospect. Trump believes marriage to be between one man and one woman, which means he’s openly bigoted against the LGBT community and the rights of same-sex couples. Donald Trump as president sends America’s progress back 50 years!
3: He’s Not the Business Genius People Believe
“But Trump is a billionaire businessman,” people scream. True, but a couple of points here. (a) He inherited his wealth from a father who made a name for himself. (b) Most of his money today comes by way of his celebrity, not his business acumen. (c) He has filed bankruptcy multiple times, which means he’s make horrible decisions and has gone broke – more than once. Can America afford bankruptcy?
“But Trump is a billionaire businessman,” people scream. True, but a couple of points here. (a) He inherited his wealth from a father who made a name for himself. (b) Most of his money today comes by way of his celebrity, not his business acumen. (c) He has filed bankruptcy multiple times, which means he’s make horrible decisions and has gone broke – more than once. Can America afford bankruptcy?
4: He’s Too Cocky to Help America
Trump is so self assured that he makes Napoleon looks like he wasn’t entirely sure of himself. He’s far too self-important to ever be an effective politician, much less the POTUS. In foreign peace talks, the man would probably stand up and walk out, throwing a tantrum if people didn’t agree with him. And sorry, Donald, but you cannot fire the leaders of other nations! What will he do, besides whine like a toddler?
Trump is so self assured that he makes Napoleon looks like he wasn’t entirely sure of himself. He’s far too self-important to ever be an effective politician, much less the POTUS. In foreign peace talks, the man would probably stand up and walk out, throwing a tantrum if people didn’t agree with him. And sorry, Donald, but you cannot fire the leaders of other nations! What will he do, besides whine like a toddler?
5: He’s Not Intelligent Enough
Trump did attend the Wharton School and went to Penn, so he’s not unlettered. However, when it comes to knowledge outside of business (which has still failed him more than once), he’s really painfully lacking. He knows nothing of science or mathematics and thus doesn’t lend any credence to stem cell research and other scientific advancements. With the way his mind works, he would simply re-inflate the housing bubble and hope that it held this time.
Trump did attend the Wharton School and went to Penn, so he’s not unlettered. However, when it comes to knowledge outside of business (which has still failed him more than once), he’s really painfully lacking. He knows nothing of science or mathematics and thus doesn’t lend any credence to stem cell research and other scientific advancements. With the way his mind works, he would simply re-inflate the housing bubble and hope that it held this time.
6: He’s Uninformed on Key Positions
The most glaring here would be that Trump was the ringleader of the Obama’s-not-a-citizen crazies. But he also seems to know next to nothing about how sanctions on nations work, evidenced by his screaming for “more sanctions” and “more sanctions,” without ever addressing any positives or negatives from these “sanctions” whatsoever. He just likes saying the word, but he doesn’t know what it means.
The most glaring here would be that Trump was the ringleader of the Obama’s-not-a-citizen crazies. But he also seems to know next to nothing about how sanctions on nations work, evidenced by his screaming for “more sanctions” and “more sanctions,” without ever addressing any positives or negatives from these “sanctions” whatsoever. He just likes saying the word, but he doesn’t know what it means.
7: He Has a Greedmonger’s Spirit
America has been making strides toward social justice and leveling an uneven playing field for nearly a decade now. Trump, with his ultra-capitalistic beliefs, threatens to rip away welfare monies and job programs and education funding in favor of more of a meme-style of American living; e.g. “pull yourself up by the bootstraps.” Easier to do when one can afford bootstraps! Trump’s greedy spirit will cripple the poor.
America has been making strides toward social justice and leveling an uneven playing field for nearly a decade now. Trump, with his ultra-capitalistic beliefs, threatens to rip away welfare monies and job programs and education funding in favor of more of a meme-style of American living; e.g. “pull yourself up by the bootstraps.” Easier to do when one can afford bootstraps! Trump’s greedy spirit will cripple the poor.
8: He May In Fact Be a Racist
Not only has Trump said on Twitter that blacks and Latinos commit most crime in America, but he’s also on record saying that we should be giving Europeans access to America and a path to citizenship, but not Latinos south of our American/Mexican border. Why, Donald? Why does he seem to have disdain for racial minorities? We’re not saying he is a racist, but it smells, walks, quacks and swims like a duck. You do the math.
Not only has Trump said on Twitter that blacks and Latinos commit most crime in America, but he’s also on record saying that we should be giving Europeans access to America and a path to citizenship, but not Latinos south of our American/Mexican border. Why, Donald? Why does he seem to have disdain for racial minorities? We’re not saying he is a racist, but it smells, walks, quacks and swims like a duck. You do the math.
9: He Has a Shady Character
Donald Trump is not a man of high moral character. He recently left Scottish citizens homeless in order to build a golf course, bulldozing their lands and displacing proud residents of the nation. And he’s done the same to minority communities by destroying their areas for hotels and casinos. Plus he has spoken out repeatedly against affordable health care for American citizens who are poor. His morality meter’s needle is too low to read; his character is as shady as it gets.
Donald Trump is not a man of high moral character. He recently left Scottish citizens homeless in order to build a golf course, bulldozing their lands and displacing proud residents of the nation. And he’s done the same to minority communities by destroying their areas for hotels and casinos. Plus he has spoken out repeatedly against affordable health care for American citizens who are poor. His morality meter’s needle is too low to read; his character is as shady as it gets.
10: He’s Far Too Impulsive
Trump is a man of more base desires and vainglorious pursuits. He’s been known to have Sean Penn-like outbursts, and the biggest part of his multiple bankruptcies was because of his impulsive behaviors leading to bad investments and overspending. An American President cannot afford to be so impulsive. A President needs to be measured and calculated and willing to compromise. These words do not exist in Trump’s vocabulary.
The Donald Trump show has been a lot of fun. En route to what now seems to be his certain nomination as US Republican presidential candidate, he has torn strips off his opponents, joked about his prowess as a builder and boasted of his billions. But even as his tactics prove stunningly effective, the conventional wisdom continues to be that his outbursts and schoolyard taunts – not to mention his politics – make him unelectable against Hillary Clinton come November.
Beyond the liberal salons of New York and Washington lies a country wondering what happened to the American dream.
Suggest a bar on Muslims entering the United States? Racist lunacy, say the establishment commentators. Talk of building a wall on the Mexican border? Self-destructive rabble-rousing, the grandees from Trump's own party complain. Trump, they say, makes Clinton a White House shoo-in.
But they should also stop to ask Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio how such conventional wisdom has worked out so far in the Republican race.
For only now are pollsters starting to understand just how Trump has done it. And their findings will make tough reading for the business-as-usual politicians. Matthew MacWilliams, founder of a political communications firm, has been testing the factors that turn voters into Trump supporters. His surveys found the key wasn't race, age, income, church attendance, ideology or education: it was attitudes to authoritarianism.
Donald Trump's supporters are looking for a strongman.
Using that criterion, MacWilliams polled Republican voters in South Carolina last month and predicted that Trump would win with 33 per cent of the vote. Two weeks ago Trump actually won with 32.5 per cent. Not a bad indicator, then. Understand this, and the Trump discourse – strong versus weak, winners and losers, nativism, fear of the other – makes sense.
It is an attractive message in 2016 America. Nothing characterises this election better than a creeping sense of insecurity: from jihadists launching lone wolf attacks in San Bernardino and Chattanooga to China's expansionist position on the other side of the globe. America is no longer the world's lone economic and military superpower. Many blame Barack Obama for diminishing, not burnishing, US global reach.
Beyond the liberal salons of New York and Washington lies a country wondering what happened to the American dream. Globalisation is taking jobs. The old deal – work hard and you will succeed – has been shattered by global economic collapse.
So when Trump talks of his admiration for Vladimir Putin, plenty of American voters see not a gaffe but a reminder that a strong leader restored pride to a broken country. And when he describes that wall with Mexico, they see a man who will actually get things done – unlike Republicans who just talk of a secure border without saying quite how they would deliver it.
So far, Trump has read the mood of the US far better than Republican suits and political journalists. But he is no ordinary demagogue. He has ripped up his party's orthodoxy, eschewing traditional appeals for small government and tinier taxes. He has publicly lauded Planned Parenthood – the abortion service hated by conservatives – and praised Britain's National Health Service. All of which makes him well-placed to pick off some of Clinton's supporters in a general election.
The key lesson he has learnt is that America has polarised not between Left and Right but between those resistant or sympathetic to authority. Clinton's problem is that, being hawkish on foreign policy and pushing for a more thorough overhaul of healthcare, she is herself an authoritarian figure in an increasingly non-authoritarian party.
All of which leaves her facing an almighty battle in the general election if she faces Trump. Unlike her other possible opponents, he won't allow her the centre ground all to herself. And she risks losing some of her blue-collar backers to the other authoritarian in the race.
Internal Democrat polling obtained by the New York Post suggests the Clinton campaign is feeling the heat. She is even vulnerable against Trump in New York, her own backyard and one of the most liberal of electorates.
Of course, it is not too late for her. Already she has begun positioning herself against her presumed opponent, repeating the phrase: "Instead of building walls we need to be tearing down barriers." And the Clinton-supporting fundraising organisations are starting to test their Trump attack advertisements.
There is a long way to go in this election. But if Clinton wants to win, she has to understand what she is up against.
Donald Trump is no mere populist. Rather, he has spotted a defining shift in American politics. This campaign is already littered with the corpses of political heavyweights who arrogantly dismissed him as a reality TV star with funny hair and a quick line in insults. To their cost, they learnt that Trump is not a clown. He simply understands his country better that they do.
Rob Crilly is a columnist with The Telegraph, London.
Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/comment/explaining-the-rise-of-donald-trump-20160303-gna9d3.html#ixzz41tNqhtQ3
Follow us: @smh on Twitter | sydneymorningherald on Facebook
washington times: House Speaker Paul D. Ryan weighed in on the GOP presidential race Tuesday, demanding candidates — apparently Donald Trump — denounce racism.
“If a person wants to be the nominee of the Republican Party, there can be no evasion and no games. They must reject any group or cause that is built on bigotry. This party does not prey on people’s prejudices,” Mr. Ryan said at a press conference.
Mr. Trump over the last few days has seemed to stumble when asked if he would denounce the Ku Klux Klan and former KKK leader David Duke, a white supremacist.
While at one point he did renounce Mr. Duke’s endorsement, when asked later if he would specifically denounce the KKK, he demurred. He later said he had a problem with his earpiece and didn’t hear the question properly.
huffington post: Noam Chomsky, the renowned scholar and MIT professor emeritus, says that the rise of Donald Trump in American politics is, in part, fueled by deeply rooted fear and hopelessness that may be caused by an alarming spike in mortality rates for a generation of poorly educated whites.
“He’s evidently appealing to deep feelings of anger, fear, frustration, hopelessness, probably among sectors like those that are seeing an increase in mortality, something unheard of apart from war and catastrophe," Chomsky told The Huffington Post in an interview on Thursday.
Trump's rise as the Republican presidential front-runner has been confounding for Americans across the political spectrum. The bombastic, billionaire demagogue has won three of the first four primary states and holds a lead in the polls, both nationwide and in upcoming primary contests. He now appears poised to take aninsurmountable delegate lead over the next several weeks, based on a platform of hate and vitriol targeted at women, Latinos, Muslims and other minorities.
A legion of less educated, working-class white men has fueled Trump’s rise. And while many say the business mogul is capitalizing on their fears about the perceived decline of white dominance in America, Chomsky says there may also be more existential forces at play.
Life expectancy, in general, has increased steadily over time. And thanks largely toadvances in health care, many people around the world live longer lives. There are exceptions, of course -- during war or natural catastrophes, for example. But what’s happening now in America, he says, is “quite different.”
Despite vast wealth and modern medicine, the U.S. has lower average life expectancy than many other nations. And while the average has been increasing recently, the gains are not evenly spread out. Wealthier Americans are living longer lives, while the poor are living shorter ones.
Poorly educated, middle-aged American white males are particularly affected,multiple recent studies suggest. While Americans from other age, racial and ethnic groups are living longer lives than ever before, this particularly segment of the population is dying faster.
A study on the issue found that the rising death rate for this group is not due to the ailments that commonly kill so many Americans, like diabetes and heart disease, but rather by an epidemic of suicides, liver disease caused by alcohol abuse, and overdoses of heroin and prescription opioids.
“No war, no catastrophe," Chomsky says, has caused the spiking mortality rate for this population. "Just the impact of policies over a generation that have left them, it seems, angry, without hope, frustrated, causing self-destructive behavior."
That could well explain Trump’s appeal, he speculated.
In an interview with Alternet this week, Chomsky compared the poverty that many Americans now face with the conditions an older generation confronted during the Great Depression.
“It’s interesting to compare the situation in the ‘30s, which I’m old enough to remember,” he said. “Objectively, poverty and suffering were far greater. But even among poor working people and the unemployed, there was a sense of hope that is lacking now.”
Chomsky attributes some of that Depression-era hope to the growth of an aggressive labor movement and the existence of political organizations outside of the mainstream.
Today, however, he says the mood is quite different for Americans who are deeply affected by poverty.
“[They] are sinking into hopelessness, despair and anger -- not directed so much against the institutions that are the agents of the dissolution of their lives and world, but against those who are even more harshly victimized,” he said. “Signs are familiar, and here it does evoke some memories of the rise of European fascism.”
CORRECTION: A previous version of this story misstated that a study on rising death rates for middle-aged white Americans received a Nobel Memorial Prize. It was, in fact, one of the authors of the study who won the prize for other work.
Editor's Note: Donald Trump is a serial liar, rampant xenophobe, racist, misogynist,birther and bully who has repeatedly pledged to ban all Muslims -- 1.6 billion members of an entire religion -- from entering the U.S.
Trump is a man of more base desires and vainglorious pursuits. He’s been known to have Sean Penn-like outbursts, and the biggest part of his multiple bankruptcies was because of his impulsive behaviors leading to bad investments and overspending. An American President cannot afford to be so impulsive. A President needs to be measured and calculated and willing to compromise. These words do not exist in Trump’s vocabulary.
The Donald Trump show has been a lot of fun. En route to what now seems to be his certain nomination as US Republican presidential candidate, he has torn strips off his opponents, joked about his prowess as a builder and boasted of his billions. But even as his tactics prove stunningly effective, the conventional wisdom continues to be that his outbursts and schoolyard taunts – not to mention his politics – make him unelectable against Hillary Clinton come November.
Beyond the liberal salons of New York and Washington lies a country wondering what happened to the American dream.
Suggest a bar on Muslims entering the United States? Racist lunacy, say the establishment commentators. Talk of building a wall on the Mexican border? Self-destructive rabble-rousing, the grandees from Trump's own party complain. Trump, they say, makes Clinton a White House shoo-in.
But they should also stop to ask Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio how such conventional wisdom has worked out so far in the Republican race.
For only now are pollsters starting to understand just how Trump has done it. And their findings will make tough reading for the business-as-usual politicians. Matthew MacWilliams, founder of a political communications firm, has been testing the factors that turn voters into Trump supporters. His surveys found the key wasn't race, age, income, church attendance, ideology or education: it was attitudes to authoritarianism.
Donald Trump's supporters are looking for a strongman.
Using that criterion, MacWilliams polled Republican voters in South Carolina last month and predicted that Trump would win with 33 per cent of the vote. Two weeks ago Trump actually won with 32.5 per cent. Not a bad indicator, then. Understand this, and the Trump discourse – strong versus weak, winners and losers, nativism, fear of the other – makes sense.
It is an attractive message in 2016 America. Nothing characterises this election better than a creeping sense of insecurity: from jihadists launching lone wolf attacks in San Bernardino and Chattanooga to China's expansionist position on the other side of the globe. America is no longer the world's lone economic and military superpower. Many blame Barack Obama for diminishing, not burnishing, US global reach.
Beyond the liberal salons of New York and Washington lies a country wondering what happened to the American dream. Globalisation is taking jobs. The old deal – work hard and you will succeed – has been shattered by global economic collapse.
So when Trump talks of his admiration for Vladimir Putin, plenty of American voters see not a gaffe but a reminder that a strong leader restored pride to a broken country. And when he describes that wall with Mexico, they see a man who will actually get things done – unlike Republicans who just talk of a secure border without saying quite how they would deliver it.
So far, Trump has read the mood of the US far better than Republican suits and political journalists. But he is no ordinary demagogue. He has ripped up his party's orthodoxy, eschewing traditional appeals for small government and tinier taxes. He has publicly lauded Planned Parenthood – the abortion service hated by conservatives – and praised Britain's National Health Service. All of which makes him well-placed to pick off some of Clinton's supporters in a general election.
The key lesson he has learnt is that America has polarised not between Left and Right but between those resistant or sympathetic to authority. Clinton's problem is that, being hawkish on foreign policy and pushing for a more thorough overhaul of healthcare, she is herself an authoritarian figure in an increasingly non-authoritarian party.
All of which leaves her facing an almighty battle in the general election if she faces Trump. Unlike her other possible opponents, he won't allow her the centre ground all to herself. And she risks losing some of her blue-collar backers to the other authoritarian in the race.
Internal Democrat polling obtained by the New York Post suggests the Clinton campaign is feeling the heat. She is even vulnerable against Trump in New York, her own backyard and one of the most liberal of electorates.
Of course, it is not too late for her. Already she has begun positioning herself against her presumed opponent, repeating the phrase: "Instead of building walls we need to be tearing down barriers." And the Clinton-supporting fundraising organisations are starting to test their Trump attack advertisements.
There is a long way to go in this election. But if Clinton wants to win, she has to understand what she is up against.
Donald Trump is no mere populist. Rather, he has spotted a defining shift in American politics. This campaign is already littered with the corpses of political heavyweights who arrogantly dismissed him as a reality TV star with funny hair and a quick line in insults. To their cost, they learnt that Trump is not a clown. He simply understands his country better that they do.
Rob Crilly is a columnist with The Telegraph, London.
Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/comment/explaining-the-rise-of-donald-trump-20160303-gna9d3.html#ixzz41tNqhtQ3
Follow us: @smh on Twitter | sydneymorningherald on Facebook
“If a person wants to be the nominee of the Republican Party, there can be no evasion and no games. They must reject any group or cause that is built on bigotry. This party does not prey on people’s prejudices,” Mr. Ryan said at a press conference.
Mr. Trump over the last few days has seemed to stumble when asked if he would denounce the Ku Klux Klan and former KKK leader David Duke, a white supremacist.
While at one point he did renounce Mr. Duke’s endorsement, when asked later if he would specifically denounce the KKK, he demurred. He later said he had a problem with his earpiece and didn’t hear the question properly.
huffington post: Noam Chomsky, the renowned scholar and MIT professor emeritus, says that the rise of Donald Trump in American politics is, in part, fueled by deeply rooted fear and hopelessness that may be caused by an alarming spike in mortality rates for a generation of poorly educated whites.Fascism Is All the Rage in Europe, and It’s Coming to America
December 9, 2015
The spectre of fascism has loomed over Europe for several years, and it’s reached a fever pitch. In France, the United Kingdom, Austria, Greece, Denmark, and Sweden, right-wing nationalist movements are gaining steam with every election.
In 2014 [3], when elections were held for the European Parliament, it was evident that the political winds were shifting rightward. Thane Rosenbaum [4] summarized Europe’s “Weimar moment” well:
“In some countries, like France, where fashion always matter, the voters gave the boorish National Front the largest share of votes. Similar extreme right-wing sentiment fueled the electoral outcome in England, where the United Kingdom Independence Party out-polled all other parties. In both countries, extremists captured more than a quarter of the vote…Things were only slightly better in Austria, Denmark, and Sweden. In Hungary, the demonstrably anti-Semitic Jobbik party finished second. In Greece, the Golden Dawn party, a neo-Nazi outfit that dresses in what looks like Nazi uniforms, captured seats for the first time. Even in Germany, where Nazi memorabilia and romanticism are outlawed, a neo-fascist claimed a seat…All across the Atlantic the fringe is looking more and more like the mainstream. These groups are generally united in their thuggery and xenophobia. Openly racist, anti-immigrant, and anti-Semitic feelings seem to be the first plank atop each party’s platform. To be sure, economic recession, the ongoing European debt crisis, and high unemployment contributed to this dash toward extremism, but anti-foreigner rhetoric ultimately dominated the campaigns.”
Everyone saw this coming.
There are very real fears in Europe, fears that we would do well to understand, however exaggerated they are. Against the backdrop of a disintegrating European Union, a global recession, a massive migration crisis, entrenched unemployment, the growth of Islamist movements and the recent Paris terror attacks, far-right parties have become all the more attractive to an increasingly paranoid and defensive populace.
This is fertile soil for fascism. And make no mistake: Fascism is not a political artifact of twentieth century Europe. History and human nature being what they are, it can – and almost certainly will – happen again. Fascism feeds on a stew of nationalism, militarism, and state power. And an enemy, real or imagined, is needed in order to whip people into a patriotic frenzy.
Muslims have become that enemy.
Over the weekend [5] France’s far-right National Front (FN) won 30 percent of the national vote in the first round of regional elections, becoming the most popular party in France. The FN, as Salon’s Ben Norton [6] noted, “runs on a harshly anti-immigrant and anti-Muslim platform. Le Pen [president of the FN], wants to eliminate immigration and make it much more difficult for migrants already in the country to attain citizenship. The FN says it has zero tolerance for undocumented immigrants, and hopes to ban dual nationality for non-Europeans.”
The rise of the FN is an indication of where France – and Europe more generally – is heading. Across Europe, parties that traffic in xenophobia and neo-fascism are finding more and more success in electoral politics, and right-wing demagogues are capitalizing on growing frustrations among their electorates.
And it’s impossible to miss the parallels in America.
In an interview with the Washington Post [7], Cas Mudde, a political scientist at the University of Georgia, argued that the fascistic undertones of Donald Trump’s campaign mirror those of Europe: “I see the phenomena as very similar. Trump is the functional equivalent of the far-right in Europe, he performs the same functions in the political system, and attracts the same kind of support…white, nativist, lower-educated and very unhappy with the establishment.”
A recent New York Times analysis [8] of Trump’s rhetoric showed just how tinged with fascist language his speeches are:
“The most striking hallmark was Mr. Trump’s constant repetition of divisive phrases, harsh words and violent imagery that American presidents rarely use, based on a quantitative comparison of his remarks and the news conferences of recent presidents, Democratic and Republican. He has a particular habit of saying “you” and “we” as he inveighs against a dangerous “them” or unnamed other — usually outsiders like illegal immigrants (“they’re pouring in”), Syrian migrants (“young, strong men”) and Mexicans, but also leaders of both political parties.”
The emphasis on the “other” is crucial. Reactionary movements make considerable use of in-group/out-group tribalism. The goal is always to use the other’s otherness as a means of dehumanization. Fascist regimes need an enemy, something against which to define themselves. This is the basis for total unity under a common – often totalitarian – cause.
Trump presents a real challenge to our political system. It’s a mistake to think fascism – real fascism – can’t happen here, or that it would never look anything like it has in the past. That’s a dangerous illusion. It’s not at all implausible to say we’re one more terrorist attack or economic downturn away from something like a Donald Trump presidency.
Trump’s shtick is perfectly attuned to our chaotic climate. However ridiculous his ideas may be (and they are ridiculous), he’s exploiting legitimate fears among the populace. Radical Islamism is a real problem, and conservative aren’t wrong to be worried about it. Trump has nothing to offer in the way of solutions, however. He’s added nothing to the conversation but hysteria and hate. And that’s all he’ll do so long as he’s part of our discourse.
The Left and Republican centrists have got to deny as much oxygen as possible to people like Trump, who flourishes in a media culture that prizes entertainment over news. If they don’t, bigotry and paranoia will subsume our politics. And the struggle against Jihadism will become a war against all of Islam, which is both wrong and counterproductive.
“In some countries, like France, where fashion always matter, the voters gave the boorish National Front the largest share of votes. Similar extreme right-wing sentiment fueled the electoral outcome in England, where the United Kingdom Independence Party out-polled all other parties. In both countries, extremists captured more than a quarter of the vote…Things were only slightly better in Austria, Denmark, and Sweden. In Hungary, the demonstrably anti-Semitic Jobbik party finished second. In Greece, the Golden Dawn party, a neo-Nazi outfit that dresses in what looks like Nazi uniforms, captured seats for the first time. Even in Germany, where Nazi memorabilia and romanticism are outlawed, a neo-fascist claimed a seat…All across the Atlantic the fringe is looking more and more like the mainstream. These groups are generally united in their thuggery and xenophobia. Openly racist, anti-immigrant, and anti-Semitic feelings seem to be the first plank atop each party’s platform. To be sure, economic recession, the ongoing European debt crisis, and high unemployment contributed to this dash toward extremism, but anti-foreigner rhetoric ultimately dominated the campaigns.”Everyone saw this coming.
There are very real fears in Europe, fears that we would do well to understand, however exaggerated they are. Against the backdrop of a disintegrating European Union, a global recession, a massive migration crisis, entrenched unemployment, the growth of Islamist movements and the recent Paris terror attacks, far-right parties have become all the more attractive to an increasingly paranoid and defensive populace.
This is fertile soil for fascism. And make no mistake: Fascism is not a political artifact of twentieth century Europe. History and human nature being what they are, it can – and almost certainly will – happen again. Fascism feeds on a stew of nationalism, militarism, and state power. And an enemy, real or imagined, is needed in order to whip people into a patriotic frenzy.
Muslims have become that enemy.
Over the weekend [5] France’s far-right National Front (FN) won 30 percent of the national vote in the first round of regional elections, becoming the most popular party in France. The FN, as Salon’s Ben Norton [6] noted, “runs on a harshly anti-immigrant and anti-Muslim platform. Le Pen [president of the FN], wants to eliminate immigration and make it much more difficult for migrants already in the country to attain citizenship. The FN says it has zero tolerance for undocumented immigrants, and hopes to ban dual nationality for non-Europeans.”
The rise of the FN is an indication of where France – and Europe more generally – is heading. Across Europe, parties that traffic in xenophobia and neo-fascism are finding more and more success in electoral politics, and right-wing demagogues are capitalizing on growing frustrations among their electorates.
And it’s impossible to miss the parallels in America.
In an interview with the Washington Post [7], Cas Mudde, a political scientist at the University of Georgia, argued that the fascistic undertones of Donald Trump’s campaign mirror those of Europe: “I see the phenomena as very similar. Trump is the functional equivalent of the far-right in Europe, he performs the same functions in the political system, and attracts the same kind of support…white, nativist, lower-educated and very unhappy with the establishment.”
A recent New York Times analysis [8] of Trump’s rhetoric showed just how tinged with fascist language his speeches are:
“The most striking hallmark was Mr. Trump’s constant repetition of divisive phrases, harsh words and violent imagery that American presidents rarely use, based on a quantitative comparison of his remarks and the news conferences of recent presidents, Democratic and Republican. He has a particular habit of saying “you” and “we” as he inveighs against a dangerous “them” or unnamed other — usually outsiders like illegal immigrants (“they’re pouring in”), Syrian migrants (“young, strong men”) and Mexicans, but also leaders of both political parties.”The emphasis on the “other” is crucial. Reactionary movements make considerable use of in-group/out-group tribalism. The goal is always to use the other’s otherness as a means of dehumanization. Fascist regimes need an enemy, something against which to define themselves. This is the basis for total unity under a common – often totalitarian – cause.
Trump presents a real challenge to our political system. It’s a mistake to think fascism – real fascism – can’t happen here, or that it would never look anything like it has in the past. That’s a dangerous illusion. It’s not at all implausible to say we’re one more terrorist attack or economic downturn away from something like a Donald Trump presidency.
Trump’s shtick is perfectly attuned to our chaotic climate. However ridiculous his ideas may be (and they are ridiculous), he’s exploiting legitimate fears among the populace. Radical Islamism is a real problem, and conservative aren’t wrong to be worried about it. Trump has nothing to offer in the way of solutions, however. He’s added nothing to the conversation but hysteria and hate. And that’s all he’ll do so long as he’s part of our discourse.
The Left and Republican centrists have got to deny as much oxygen as possible to people like Trump, who flourishes in a media culture that prizes entertainment over news. If they don’t, bigotry and paranoia will subsume our politics. And the struggle against Jihadism will become a war against all of Islam, which is both wrong and counterproductive.
marketwatch: Trump thanks 'poorly educated' after Nevada win
Donald Trump won the Nevada Republican caucuses by sweeping nearly every demographic group. During his victory speech, he thanked his diverse group of supporters and said he "loves the poorly educated."
salon: Donald Trump, the political necromancer, has been able to manipulate the death anxieties of right-wing voters for his own political gain. Trump won the New Hampshire primary by a substantial margin. If current public opinion polls are accurate, he will also win the Republican South Carolina primary as well.
Trump’s base of white working-class authoritarians is scared of what they view as a “new” America, one in which they believe that the psychological and material wages of Whiteness will not be as great. A combination of the brain structures and cognitive processes of conservative-authoritarians, socialization by family and community, and disinformation from the right-wing “news” entertainment complex, reinforce those anxieties while also ginning up deep feelings of racial resentment toward non-whites.
Donald Trump is not necessarily the prime instigator or cause of those fears; he is just the Republican candidate who is most adept at manipulating them. Trump’s slogan “Make America Great Again” is a direct promise to restore a world where white folks are central to all things in the United States (to the degree that they are not), and their dominance, privilege and power are uncontested.
Approximately a week ago, I offered an essay here at Salon that examined Trump’s ability to manipulate his supporters’ death anxieties. In “Secrets of Donald Trump’s cult: This is why the angriest white voters will not leave his side,” I focused on the psychological concept known as “terror management theory” and its relationship to social scientist Seymour Lipset’s insights about “working-class authoritarianism.”
There, I wrote:
Biology, socialization and cultural norms influence how a given person manages their fear of death. The death anxiety also interacts with one’s political values. In some ways, conservative authoritarians manage their death anxieties differently than people who possess a “liberal” or “progressive” political personality type. Conservative authoritarians display high levels of nationalism, social dominance behavior, intolerance, out-group anxiety and bigotry, racism, a need for binary “yes” or “no” answers, a yearning for epistemic closure, and higher levels of religiosity. Terror management theory suggests that conservative authoritarians are especially prone to loving “the flag, guns, god, and religion” because these symbols and institutions are fixed points that will, in theory, outlive a given person.
Neuroscientists and social psychologists have determined that the brains of conservative authoritarians are especially sensitive to feelings of fear and disgust. Research on terror management theory complements those findings by showing that when scared or under threat, conservative authoritarians are more likely to become tribal, bigoted, racist and generally more hostile to those they identify as some type of Other.
The intersection of terror management theory and contemporary American conservatism is a profile of the Republican voter en masse, and Donald Trump supporters in particular.
Public opinion research has repeatedly shown that today’s Republican voters are angry, afraid and motivated by racial animus, white racial resentment and nativism. Because he is the id of contemporary conservatism, Donald Trump’s supporters display those worrisome and ugly traits in the extreme.
I concluded with the following observation:
In many mythological traditions, the necromancer controls the dead by using a drum or playing a song. These sounds trick the “living” corpse into thinking that it has a heartbeat. When the necromancer stops hitting the drum or ceases the music, the corpse reverts back to inert matter.
The political necromancer and cult leader Donald Trump beats a drum of nativism, fear, racism and sexism to control the right-wing political zombies that follow him. The problem is, unlike the undead ghouls of myth and folklore, once Donald Trump stops beating his metaphorical drum, his followers will not return to their graves. Trump’s people are now the walking dead of American political and cultural life, a group that threatens to devour us all.
Sheldon Solomon, one of the psychologists who did some of the first work on terror management theory, has recently completed a new paper that focuses on Donald Trump and how death anxieties relate to support for his campaign.
As indicated by Solomon’s new paper (written with co-author Florette Cohen) “You’re hired! Mortality Salience Increases Americans’ Support for Donald Trump,” matters may be worse than I suggested in my earlier essay.
Solomon and Cohen frame their new research on Donald Trump and terror management theory in the following way:
The 2016 U.S. presidential election campaign is occurring at a historical moment that is, from Max Weber’s perspective, ripe for the ascendance of a charismatic leader: economic uncertainty juxtaposed with environmental instability compounded by concerns about immigration magnified by ongoing threats of terrorist attacks by Islamic extremists. And Donald Trump has many characteristics of a (secular) charismatic leader: a powerful (i.e. rich) and self-assured public figure pledging to “Make America Great Again” and to keep U.S. citizens safe by stemming the tide of illegal immigrants from Mexico by building a wall at the border to keep out their “criminals” and “rapists,” “calling for a total and complete shutdown of Muslims entering the United States,” and bombing “the shit out of ISIS.”
The paper’s conclusions include:
Among a sample of Americans, support for presidential candidate Donald Trump increased in response to reminders of death, consistent with previous research (Landau et al., 2004; Cohen et al., 2005) showing that MS increased support for President Bush by participants across the political spectrum. Overall, participants in the study did not have particularly favorable impressions of Mr. Trump, with mean support for him below the mid-point (5 = “somewhat” supportive) of the scale in both the control and MS conditions. However, this makes the fact that support for Mr. Trump increased in response to the MS induction particularly interesting in that existing attitudes are typically polarized following death reminders; for example, Jong, Halberstadt, & Bluemke (2012) found that following an MS induction, participants who believed in God became more confident of God’s existence whereas atheists became more confident that God does not exist…
Although clearly additional research is in order to establish if the MS-induced boost in support for Donald Trump will persist closer to the 2016 presidential election (if he becomes the Republican candidate), this study adds to the burgeoning literature (reviewed by Cohen & Solomon, 2011) demonstrating that subtle alterations in psychological conditions have a pronounced effect on political preferences. This could have ominous implications for democracy in that public policy and electoral outcomes should ideally result from rational deliberations rather than defensive reactions to mortal terror.
These findings are especially worrisome given that the sample was focused on young college age students (a group not likely to support Trump) who did not have a particularly strong predisposition or orientation to support Trump’s campaign. Given what is known about death anxiety, authoritarianism, age and political values, this dynamic can only be expected to be even more extreme among Donald Trump’s base.
In all, there is a clear relationship between terror management theory, conservative-authoritarianism and an embrace of “Trumpmania.”
As another complement to Sheldon Solomon’s new research (as well as the claims I made in my earlier essay), the intoxicating and noxious power of working-class authoritarianism for Trump supporters, specifically, and for Republican voters, in general, has been further buttressed by new research from the University of Massachusetts, Amherst.
salon: Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin both resemble fictional characters more than real people, which may help explain Trump’s repeated assertions that he understands the Russian president and would get along with him. “In terms of leadership, he’s getting an A,” the putative GOP frontrunner told Bill O’Reilly, while essentially endorsing Putin’s current campaign to prop up Syrian president Bashar al-Assad, a major factor in the mounting tensions between the United States and Russia. So far the bromance has been one-sided, thankfully. Putin is nothing if not a shrewd operator, and whoever in his inner circle has been tasked with making sense of the Trump phenomenon has no doubt advised him to steer clear.
But if Putin and Trump seem like satirical or symbolic figures out of novels or movies, they come from different kinds of stories and, more to the point, from radically different fictional traditions. Trump is a larger-than-life caricature taken from a Sinclair Lewis novel or an early Frank Capra film, a vicious and merciless plutocrat-turned-politician who appeals (as I have previously suggested) to deep, ugly currents within human nature and American history. Putin may look like a similarly blunt instrument from this distance, an old-time Russian strongman who invades neighboring nations, imprisons political opponents and causes voices of dissent to die or disappear under mysterious circumstances.
But the man who consolidated power in post-Soviet Russia 15 years ago with startling rapidity – in a process that has been much investigated but never entirely explained – is a subtler and more shadowy creation than that outline suggests. He’s a character out of a postmodern, metafictional work by Don DeLillo or Philip K. Dick, about whom so little is certain that the reader begins to suspect he does not exist. Certain facts about Putin’s life and career can be ascertained, but the more you examine them, the more they seem like “facts” in quotation marks, or come to resemble the constant Russian media images of Putin fighting forest fires in Siberia, diving beneath the Black Sea in a submersible or riding a motorbike with the Russian equivalent of the Hell’s Angels. I mean, he really went to those places and put on those uniforms, right? Those are facts too.
Clear across the American political spectrum, from those eager to cast Putin as an unhinged, power-mad tyrant who is singlehandedly relaunching the Cold War tothose on the radical left who halfheartedly try to cast him as a hero standing up to the American empire (i.e., because he is singlehandedly relaunching the Cold War), our problem is that we think we have Putin figured out but we don’t. We don’t understand Putin because we know almost nothing about Russian society or Russian political history, and we don’t understand him because the invented or self-invented character called “Putin” is not meant to be understood. If those sound like contradictory proposals, well, welcome to Putin-land.
When I waded into “Mr. Putin: Operative in the Kremlin,” a whopping volume by the Brookings Institution scholars Fiona Hill and Clifford G. Gaddy that is viewed as the authoritative work on Putin in English, I did not suspect that the American foreign policy establishment would embrace this sort of literary or philosophical ambiguity. Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden are all said to have read this book, which was expressly intended to provide Western policy-makers and bureaucrats with a psychological and historical framework for understanding this most perplexing of contemporary world leaders.
But you barely get five pages into “Mr. Putin” before Hill and Gaddy start to sound like bright liberal-arts undergrads who just got stoned and read Jacques Derrida or Slavoj Žižek for the first time. “Attempting to write about Vladimir Putin,” they observe, presented challenges they had not noticed or imagined until they were well into the project. When you “delve into his hidden aspects, whether in the past or present, you are playing a game with Putin. It is a game where he is in charge. He controls the facts and the ‘stories.’” They could not afford to “take any story or so-called fact at face value when it comes to Vladimir Putin,” they continue, because “we are dealing with someone who is a master at manipulating information, suppressing information, and creating pseudo-information … after 15 years, we remain ignorant of some of the most basic facts about a man who is arguably the most powerful individual in the world, the leader of an important nation.”
Very little is known about Putin’s childhood in Leningrad (as it was then called), and almost all the so-called information comes either from stories he has told himself or official campaign biographies. Putin was married for more than 30 years (he is now divorced) and has two adult daughters, but his wife and children “are conspicuously absent from the public domain,” as Hill and Gaddy put it. During the latter stages of the Soviet era, he was a KGB officer for about 15 years, a fact often reported as if it explained anything. But Putin was nowhere near the top of the Soviet bureaucracy, and there are any number of onetime KGB officials and Communist Party apparatchiks among the ruling elite of contemporary Russia. Only one of them rose to undisputed control of the entire country.
How that happened is the great mystery of Putin’s career, one he appears to have purposefully clouded in doubt and one that “Mr. Putin” makes only tentative efforts to unpack. Somehow or other, Putin went from being the deputy mayor of St. Petersburg in 1996 (who was nearly brought down by a local corruption scandal that threatened the city’s food supply) to becoming the acting president of Russia on the last day of 1999, following Boris Yeltsin’s abrupt resignation. He has run the show in Moscow ever since, and whether that outcome resulted from a coordinated backroom coup d’état or represents the unintended consequence of a chaotic chain of events remains a huge unanswered question.
In the grand tradition of political science doorstops, “Mr. Putin” includes considerable wonky dissection of power struggles within the Russian oligarchy and the contributory factors behind specific policy decisions of the Putin era. I particularly enjoyed the detective work that leads Hill and Gaddy to conclude, purely on circumstantial evidence, that Putin’s strategic thinking was shaped by an American business-school textbook from 1978 that was apparently in vogue at the KGB academy when he studied there. On a more substantive level, the book offers a succinct account of how Putin came to feel increasingly disrespected and undermined by both the Bill Clinton and George W. Bush administrations between 1999 and the Iraq invasion in 2003, and moved from a generally pro-American position to the view that the United States was a fatally arrogant and grossly incompetent player on the world stage. You don’t have to like the guy to concede that he had a point.
(CNN)New Hampshire voters may be stunned to hear the latest robocall asking for their vote; it's from white nationalists with a simple, disturbing message.
"We don't need Muslims. We need smart, educated, white people," according to the male voice on the calls, which began Thursday night and urge voters in New Hampshire to vote for Donald Trump.
Three white nationalist leaders have banded together to form their own super PAC in support of Trump, even though Trump doesn't want their support.
The American National Super PAC is funding the robocall effort, which is organized under a separate group called the American Freedom Party.
On its website, the American Freedom Party says it "shares the customs and heritage of the European American people."
Hear the entire unauthorized phone call endorsing Trump at the American Freedom Party website. It was not immediately clear how many New Hampshire homes would receive the calls. Similar robocalls were placed ahead of the Iowa caucuses.
Jared Taylor, online editor of AmRen, the media outlet of the white nationalist group called American Renaissance, is one of the voices on the robocall. Taylor is also spokesman for the group the Council of Conservative Citizens, which is widely considered to be white supremacist group, though they call themselves a "white rights" group on their website. The group dates back decades and inspired Dylann Roof, who last summer confessed to shooting and killing nine people at the Emanuel African Methodist Church in Charleston, South Carolina.
Taylor said he prefers to be called a "white advocate" rather than a white nationalist or white supremacist.
"Most white people would prefer to live in majority white neighborhoods and send their children to majority white schools, and deep in their bones, they are deeply disturbed by an immigration policy that is making the United States majority non-white," said Taylor. "So when Donald Trump talks about sending out all the illegals, building a wall and a moratorium on Islamic immigration, that's very appealing to a lot of ordinary white people."
Taylor added, "They will say that I support Donald Trump because he's going to send away all illegal immigrants and build a wall and that he wants to put a moratorium on Islamic immigration, and I will say that what this means is that he wants immigrants who will assimilate to our Western values. And I'm all for that, and I think all of the people in New Hampshire are all for that, too."
"And if a school and their parents and their kids wanted to be multicultural?" asked CNN's Drew Griffin.
"God bless them, too. Complete freedom of association is what I stand for. And if people wish to mix it up, fine," Taylor replied. "You'll just find that when the government isn't shoving them together, there just aren't that many who wish to mix it up. But if they want to? Go right ahead."
Donald Trump won the Nevada Republican caucuses by sweeping nearly every demographic group. During his victory speech, he thanked his diverse group of supporters and said he "loves the poorly educated."
salon: Donald Trump, the political necromancer, has been able to manipulate the death anxieties of right-wing voters for his own political gain. Trump won the New Hampshire primary by a substantial margin. If current public opinion polls are accurate, he will also win the Republican South Carolina primary as well.
Trump’s base of white working-class authoritarians is scared of what they view as a “new” America, one in which they believe that the psychological and material wages of Whiteness will not be as great. A combination of the brain structures and cognitive processes of conservative-authoritarians, socialization by family and community, and disinformation from the right-wing “news” entertainment complex, reinforce those anxieties while also ginning up deep feelings of racial resentment toward non-whites.
Donald Trump is not necessarily the prime instigator or cause of those fears; he is just the Republican candidate who is most adept at manipulating them. Trump’s slogan “Make America Great Again” is a direct promise to restore a world where white folks are central to all things in the United States (to the degree that they are not), and their dominance, privilege and power are uncontested.
Approximately a week ago, I offered an essay here at Salon that examined Trump’s ability to manipulate his supporters’ death anxieties. In “Secrets of Donald Trump’s cult: This is why the angriest white voters will not leave his side,” I focused on the psychological concept known as “terror management theory” and its relationship to social scientist Seymour Lipset’s insights about “working-class authoritarianism.”
There, I wrote:
Biology, socialization and cultural norms influence how a given person manages their fear of death. The death anxiety also interacts with one’s political values. In some ways, conservative authoritarians manage their death anxieties differently than people who possess a “liberal” or “progressive” political personality type. Conservative authoritarians display high levels of nationalism, social dominance behavior, intolerance, out-group anxiety and bigotry, racism, a need for binary “yes” or “no” answers, a yearning for epistemic closure, and higher levels of religiosity. Terror management theory suggests that conservative authoritarians are especially prone to loving “the flag, guns, god, and religion” because these symbols and institutions are fixed points that will, in theory, outlive a given person.Neuroscientists and social psychologists have determined that the brains of conservative authoritarians are especially sensitive to feelings of fear and disgust. Research on terror management theory complements those findings by showing that when scared or under threat, conservative authoritarians are more likely to become tribal, bigoted, racist and generally more hostile to those they identify as some type of Other.The intersection of terror management theory and contemporary American conservatism is a profile of the Republican voter en masse, and Donald Trump supporters in particular.Public opinion research has repeatedly shown that today’s Republican voters are angry, afraid and motivated by racial animus, white racial resentment and nativism. Because he is the id of contemporary conservatism, Donald Trump’s supporters display those worrisome and ugly traits in the extreme.
I concluded with the following observation:
In many mythological traditions, the necromancer controls the dead by using a drum or playing a song. These sounds trick the “living” corpse into thinking that it has a heartbeat. When the necromancer stops hitting the drum or ceases the music, the corpse reverts back to inert matter.The political necromancer and cult leader Donald Trump beats a drum of nativism, fear, racism and sexism to control the right-wing political zombies that follow him. The problem is, unlike the undead ghouls of myth and folklore, once Donald Trump stops beating his metaphorical drum, his followers will not return to their graves. Trump’s people are now the walking dead of American political and cultural life, a group that threatens to devour us all.
Sheldon Solomon, one of the psychologists who did some of the first work on terror management theory, has recently completed a new paper that focuses on Donald Trump and how death anxieties relate to support for his campaign.
As indicated by Solomon’s new paper (written with co-author Florette Cohen) “You’re hired! Mortality Salience Increases Americans’ Support for Donald Trump,” matters may be worse than I suggested in my earlier essay.
Solomon and Cohen frame their new research on Donald Trump and terror management theory in the following way:
The 2016 U.S. presidential election campaign is occurring at a historical moment that is, from Max Weber’s perspective, ripe for the ascendance of a charismatic leader: economic uncertainty juxtaposed with environmental instability compounded by concerns about immigration magnified by ongoing threats of terrorist attacks by Islamic extremists. And Donald Trump has many characteristics of a (secular) charismatic leader: a powerful (i.e. rich) and self-assured public figure pledging to “Make America Great Again” and to keep U.S. citizens safe by stemming the tide of illegal immigrants from Mexico by building a wall at the border to keep out their “criminals” and “rapists,” “calling for a total and complete shutdown of Muslims entering the United States,” and bombing “the shit out of ISIS.”
The paper’s conclusions include:
Among a sample of Americans, support for presidential candidate Donald Trump increased in response to reminders of death, consistent with previous research (Landau et al., 2004; Cohen et al., 2005) showing that MS increased support for President Bush by participants across the political spectrum. Overall, participants in the study did not have particularly favorable impressions of Mr. Trump, with mean support for him below the mid-point (5 = “somewhat” supportive) of the scale in both the control and MS conditions. However, this makes the fact that support for Mr. Trump increased in response to the MS induction particularly interesting in that existing attitudes are typically polarized following death reminders; for example, Jong, Halberstadt, & Bluemke (2012) found that following an MS induction, participants who believed in God became more confident of God’s existence whereas atheists became more confident that God does not exist…Although clearly additional research is in order to establish if the MS-induced boost in support for Donald Trump will persist closer to the 2016 presidential election (if he becomes the Republican candidate), this study adds to the burgeoning literature (reviewed by Cohen & Solomon, 2011) demonstrating that subtle alterations in psychological conditions have a pronounced effect on political preferences. This could have ominous implications for democracy in that public policy and electoral outcomes should ideally result from rational deliberations rather than defensive reactions to mortal terror.
These findings are especially worrisome given that the sample was focused on young college age students (a group not likely to support Trump) who did not have a particularly strong predisposition or orientation to support Trump’s campaign. Given what is known about death anxiety, authoritarianism, age and political values, this dynamic can only be expected to be even more extreme among Donald Trump’s base.
In all, there is a clear relationship between terror management theory, conservative-authoritarianism and an embrace of “Trumpmania.”
As another complement to Sheldon Solomon’s new research (as well as the claims I made in my earlier essay), the intoxicating and noxious power of working-class authoritarianism for Trump supporters, specifically, and for Republican voters, in general, has been further buttressed by new research from the University of Massachusetts, Amherst.
But if Putin and Trump seem like satirical or symbolic figures out of novels or movies, they come from different kinds of stories and, more to the point, from radically different fictional traditions. Trump is a larger-than-life caricature taken from a Sinclair Lewis novel or an early Frank Capra film, a vicious and merciless plutocrat-turned-politician who appeals (as I have previously suggested) to deep, ugly currents within human nature and American history. Putin may look like a similarly blunt instrument from this distance, an old-time Russian strongman who invades neighboring nations, imprisons political opponents and causes voices of dissent to die or disappear under mysterious circumstances.
But the man who consolidated power in post-Soviet Russia 15 years ago with startling rapidity – in a process that has been much investigated but never entirely explained – is a subtler and more shadowy creation than that outline suggests. He’s a character out of a postmodern, metafictional work by Don DeLillo or Philip K. Dick, about whom so little is certain that the reader begins to suspect he does not exist. Certain facts about Putin’s life and career can be ascertained, but the more you examine them, the more they seem like “facts” in quotation marks, or come to resemble the constant Russian media images of Putin fighting forest fires in Siberia, diving beneath the Black Sea in a submersible or riding a motorbike with the Russian equivalent of the Hell’s Angels. I mean, he really went to those places and put on those uniforms, right? Those are facts too.
Clear across the American political spectrum, from those eager to cast Putin as an unhinged, power-mad tyrant who is singlehandedly relaunching the Cold War tothose on the radical left who halfheartedly try to cast him as a hero standing up to the American empire (i.e., because he is singlehandedly relaunching the Cold War), our problem is that we think we have Putin figured out but we don’t. We don’t understand Putin because we know almost nothing about Russian society or Russian political history, and we don’t understand him because the invented or self-invented character called “Putin” is not meant to be understood. If those sound like contradictory proposals, well, welcome to Putin-land.
When I waded into “Mr. Putin: Operative in the Kremlin,” a whopping volume by the Brookings Institution scholars Fiona Hill and Clifford G. Gaddy that is viewed as the authoritative work on Putin in English, I did not suspect that the American foreign policy establishment would embrace this sort of literary or philosophical ambiguity. Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden are all said to have read this book, which was expressly intended to provide Western policy-makers and bureaucrats with a psychological and historical framework for understanding this most perplexing of contemporary world leaders.
But you barely get five pages into “Mr. Putin” before Hill and Gaddy start to sound like bright liberal-arts undergrads who just got stoned and read Jacques Derrida or Slavoj Žižek for the first time. “Attempting to write about Vladimir Putin,” they observe, presented challenges they had not noticed or imagined until they were well into the project. When you “delve into his hidden aspects, whether in the past or present, you are playing a game with Putin. It is a game where he is in charge. He controls the facts and the ‘stories.’” They could not afford to “take any story or so-called fact at face value when it comes to Vladimir Putin,” they continue, because “we are dealing with someone who is a master at manipulating information, suppressing information, and creating pseudo-information … after 15 years, we remain ignorant of some of the most basic facts about a man who is arguably the most powerful individual in the world, the leader of an important nation.”
Very little is known about Putin’s childhood in Leningrad (as it was then called), and almost all the so-called information comes either from stories he has told himself or official campaign biographies. Putin was married for more than 30 years (he is now divorced) and has two adult daughters, but his wife and children “are conspicuously absent from the public domain,” as Hill and Gaddy put it. During the latter stages of the Soviet era, he was a KGB officer for about 15 years, a fact often reported as if it explained anything. But Putin was nowhere near the top of the Soviet bureaucracy, and there are any number of onetime KGB officials and Communist Party apparatchiks among the ruling elite of contemporary Russia. Only one of them rose to undisputed control of the entire country.
How that happened is the great mystery of Putin’s career, one he appears to have purposefully clouded in doubt and one that “Mr. Putin” makes only tentative efforts to unpack. Somehow or other, Putin went from being the deputy mayor of St. Petersburg in 1996 (who was nearly brought down by a local corruption scandal that threatened the city’s food supply) to becoming the acting president of Russia on the last day of 1999, following Boris Yeltsin’s abrupt resignation. He has run the show in Moscow ever since, and whether that outcome resulted from a coordinated backroom coup d’état or represents the unintended consequence of a chaotic chain of events remains a huge unanswered question.
In the grand tradition of political science doorstops, “Mr. Putin” includes considerable wonky dissection of power struggles within the Russian oligarchy and the contributory factors behind specific policy decisions of the Putin era. I particularly enjoyed the detective work that leads Hill and Gaddy to conclude, purely on circumstantial evidence, that Putin’s strategic thinking was shaped by an American business-school textbook from 1978 that was apparently in vogue at the KGB academy when he studied there. On a more substantive level, the book offers a succinct account of how Putin came to feel increasingly disrespected and undermined by both the Bill Clinton and George W. Bush administrations between 1999 and the Iraq invasion in 2003, and moved from a generally pro-American position to the view that the United States was a fatally arrogant and grossly incompetent player on the world stage. You don’t have to like the guy to concede that he had a point.
(CNN)New Hampshire voters may be stunned to hear the latest robocall asking for their vote; it's from white nationalists with a simple, disturbing message.
Hear the entire unauthorized phone call endorsing Trump at the American Freedom Party website. It was not immediately clear how many New Hampshire homes would receive the calls. Similar robocalls were placed ahead of the Iowa caucuses.
Jared Taylor, online editor of AmRen, the media outlet of the white nationalist group called American Renaissance, is one of the voices on the robocall. Taylor is also spokesman for the group the Council of Conservative Citizens, which is widely considered to be white supremacist group, though they call themselves a "white rights" group on their website. The group dates back decades and inspired Dylann Roof, who last summer confessed to shooting and killing nine people at the Emanuel African Methodist Church in Charleston, South Carolina.
Taylor said he prefers to be called a "white advocate" rather than a white nationalist or white supremacist.
"Most white people would prefer to live in majority white neighborhoods and send their children to majority white schools, and deep in their bones, they are deeply disturbed by an immigration policy that is making the United States majority non-white," said Taylor. "So when Donald Trump talks about sending out all the illegals, building a wall and a moratorium on Islamic immigration, that's very appealing to a lot of ordinary white people."
Taylor added, "They will say that I support Donald Trump because he's going to send away all illegal immigrants and build a wall and that he wants to put a moratorium on Islamic immigration, and I will say that what this means is that he wants immigrants who will assimilate to our Western values. And I'm all for that, and I think all of the people in New Hampshire are all for that, too."
"And if a school and their parents and their kids wanted to be multicultural?" asked CNN's Drew Griffin.
"God bless them, too. Complete freedom of association is what I stand for. And if people wish to mix it up, fine," Taylor replied. "You'll just find that when the government isn't shoving them together, there just aren't that many who wish to mix it up. But if they want to? Go right ahead."
Racist calls hurting Trump
There is some evidence the calls may be doing more harm than good for Trump.
William Johnson, a California attorney who helped organize the racist, pro-Trump phone calls, told CNN initial response from New Hampshire residents has been "voluminous" but not exactly supportive.
"I personally answered scores and scores of calls," Johnson wrote to CNN. "Most were: 'Stop calling me' ... the next most popular response was 'I'll never vote for Trump, so there!'"
Johnson said he has received only "a noteworthy minority of calls that were favorable to Donald Trump and/or to our pro-white message."
There is some evidence the calls may be doing more harm than good for Trump.
William Johnson, a California attorney who helped organize the racist, pro-Trump phone calls, told CNN initial response from New Hampshire residents has been "voluminous" but not exactly supportive.
"I personally answered scores and scores of calls," Johnson wrote to CNN. "Most were: 'Stop calling me' ... the next most popular response was 'I'll never vote for Trump, so there!'"
Johnson said he has received only "a noteworthy minority of calls that were favorable to Donald Trump and/or to our pro-white message."
Trump doesn't want group's support
Contacted by CNN, the Trump campaign would not speak specifically about Taylor, his group, the robocalls, or the group's white nationalist ideas.
"Mr. Trump has disavowed all Super PACs offering their support and continues to do so," said Hope Hicks, a Trump campaign spokeswoman.
The American National super PAC says it has nothing to do with the official Trump campaign and has no communication with the candidate.
Its white nationalist members just say they like Trump, and are willing to support him whether the candidate welcomes them or not.
Asked whether he thinks Trump wants his support, Taylor said: "I don't know whether he wants it or not. I think he wants support from everyone. Whether or not he would agree with me is an entirely other matter. Remember, it is I who am supporting Donald Trump, and not Donald Trump who is supporting me."
Taylor said there are only a handful of people involved in the effort. But he claims the movement he supports, white supremacy, is attractive to hundreds of thousands of Americans eager for a candidate to restore order.
Taylor added that of all the candidates, Trump "is the best man so far."
Contacted by CNN, the Trump campaign would not speak specifically about Taylor, his group, the robocalls, or the group's white nationalist ideas.
"Mr. Trump has disavowed all Super PACs offering their support and continues to do so," said Hope Hicks, a Trump campaign spokeswoman.
The American National super PAC says it has nothing to do with the official Trump campaign and has no communication with the candidate.
Its white nationalist members just say they like Trump, and are willing to support him whether the candidate welcomes them or not.
Asked whether he thinks Trump wants his support, Taylor said: "I don't know whether he wants it or not. I think he wants support from everyone. Whether or not he would agree with me is an entirely other matter. Remember, it is I who am supporting Donald Trump, and not Donald Trump who is supporting me."
Taylor said there are only a handful of people involved in the effort. But he claims the movement he supports, white supremacy, is attractive to hundreds of thousands of Americans eager for a candidate to restore order.
Taylor added that of all the candidates, Trump "is the best man so far."
... jika trump menjadi PRESIDEN AS, MAKA SALAH SATU RISIKO SEJARAHnya, mungkin amrik balik k sejarah : politik isolasi...
MILESTONES: 1937–1945
American Isolationism in the 1930s
During the 1930s, the combination of the Great Depression and the memory of tragic losses in World War I contributed to pushing American public opinion and policy toward isolationism. Isolationists advocated non-involvement in European and Asian conflicts and non-entanglement in international politics. Although the United States took measures to avoid political and military conflicts across the oceans, it continued to expand economically and protect its interests in Latin America. The leaders of the isolationist movement drew upon history to bolster their position.
In his Farewell Address, President George Washington had advocated non-involvement in European wars and politics. For much of the nineteenth century, the expanse of the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans had made it possible for the United States to enjoy a kind of “free security” and remain largely detached from Old World conflicts.
During World War I, however, President Woodrow Wilson made a case for U.S. intervention in the conflict and a U.S. interest in maintaining a peaceful world order. Nevertheless, the American experience in that war served to bolster the arguments of isolationists; they argued that marginal U.S. interests in that conflict did not justify the number of U.S. casualties.
In the wake of the World War I, a report by Senator Gerald P. Nye, a Republican from North Dakota, fed this belief by claiming that American bankers and arms manufacturers had pushed for U.S. involvement for their own profit. The 1934 publication of the book Merchants of Death by H.C. Engelbrecht and F. C. Hanighen, followed by the 1935 tract “War Is a Racket” by decorated Marine Corps General Smedley D. Butler both served to increase popular suspicions of wartime profiteering and influence public opinion in the direction of neutrality. Many Americans became determined not to be tricked by banks and industries into making such great sacrifices again. The reality of a worldwide economic depression and the need for increased attention to domestic problems only served to bolster the idea that the United States should isolate itself from troubling events in Europe. During the interwar period, the U.S. Government repeatedly chose non-entanglement over participation or intervention as the appropriate response to international questions. Immediately following the First World War, Congress rejected U.S. membership in the League of Nations. Some members of Congress opposed membership in the League out of concern that it would draw the United States into European conflicts, although ultimately the collective security clause sank the possibility of U.S. participation. During the 1930s, the League proved ineffectual in the face of growing militarism, partly due to the U.S. decision not to participate.
The isolationists were a diverse group, including progressives and conservatives, business owners and peace activists, but because they faced no consistent, organized opposition from internationalists, their ideology triumphed time and again. Roosevelt appeared to accept the strength of the isolationist elements in Congress until 1937. In that year, as the situation in Europe continued to grow worse and the Second Sino-Japanese War began in Asia, the President gave a speech in which he likened international aggression to a disease that other nations must work to “quarantine.” At that time, however, Americans were still not prepared to risk their lives and livelihoods for peace abroad. Even the outbreak of war in Europe in 1939 did not suddenly diffuse popular desire to avoid international entanglements. Instead, public opinion shifted from favoring complete neutrality to supporting limited U.S. aid to the Allies short of actual intervention in the war. The surprise Japanese attack on the U.S. Navy at Pearl Harbor in December of 1941 served to convince the majority of Americans that the United States should enter the war on the side of the Allies.The Japanese invasion of Manchuria and subsequent push to gain control over larger expanses of Northeast China in 1931 led President Herbert Hoover and his Secretary of State, Henry Stimson, to establish theStimson Doctrine, which stated that the United States would not recognize the territory gained by aggression and in violation of international agreements. With the Stimson Doctrine, the United States expressed concern over the aggressive action without committing itself to any direct involvement or intervention. Other conflicts, including the Italian invasion of Ethiopia and the Spanish Civil War, also resulted in virtually no official commitment or action from the United States Government. Upon taking office, President Franklin Delano Roosevelt tended to see a necessity for the United States to participate more actively in international affairs, but his ability to apply his personal outlook to foreign policy was limited by the strength of isolationist sentiment in the U.S. Congress. In 1933, President Roosevelt proposed a Congressional measure that would have granted him the right to consult with other nations to place pressure on aggressors in international conflicts. The bill ran into strong opposition from the leading isolationists in Congress, including progressive politicians such as Senators Hiram Johnson of California, William Borah of Idaho, and Robert La Follette of Wisconsin. In 1935, controversy over U.S. participation in the World Court elicited similar opposition. As tensions rose in Europe over Nazi Germany’s aggressive maneuvers, Congress pushed through a series ofNeutrality Acts, which served to prevent American ships and citizens from becoming entangled in outside conflicts. Roosevelt lamented the restrictive nature of the acts, but because he still required Congressional support for his domestic New Deal policies, he reluctantly acquiesced.
Pew Research menurunkan hasil penelitiannya sbb:
Pew Research menurunkan hasil penelitiannya sbb:
Faith and the 2016 Campaign
GOP candidates seen as religious – except for Trump
The conventional wisdom in American politics has long been that someone who is not religious cannot be elected president of the United States. Most Americans have consistently said that it is important to them that the president have strong religious beliefs. And a new Pew Research Center survey finds that being an atheist remains one of the biggest liabilities that a presidential candidate can have; fully half of American adults say they would be less likely to vote for a hypothetical presidential candidate who does not believe in God, while just 6% say they would be more likely to vote for a nonbeliever.
On the other hand, the share of American adults who say they would be less likely to vote for an atheist candidate has been declining over time. Moreover, one of the candidates who is widely viewed by Republicans as a potentially “good” or “great” president, Donald Trump, is not widely viewed as a religious person, even by those in his own party. And on the Democratic side, the share of Americans who say Hillary Clinton is not a religious person now stands at 43%, which is sharply higher than it was in the summer of 2007, when she was seeking the presidential nomination for the first time.
These are among the key findings of a new Pew Research Center survey conducted Jan. 7-14, 2016, on landlines and cellphones among a national sample of 2,009 adults. This is the latest in a long line of research the Center has conducted on the role of religion in presidential campaigns. In 2012, for instance, polling found that Mitt Romney’s Mormon faith was a potentially important factor in the Republican primaries but was not likely to play a major role in determining the outcome of the general election. In the run-up to the2008 campaign, voters who saw presidential candidates as at least “somewhat” religious expressed more favorable views of those candidates; but the Center’s research also showed that White House contenders need not be seen as very religious to be broadly acceptable to the voting public. And in 2004, a majority of the U.S. public thought it was improper for the Catholic Church to deny communion to pro-choice politicians like John Kerry.
The new survey confirms that being an atheist continues to be one of the biggest perceived shortcomings a hypothetical presidential candidate could have, with 51% of adults saying they would be less likely to vote for a presidential candidate who does not believe in God. Indeed, in the eyes of the public, being a nonbeliever remains a bigger drawback than having had an extramarital affair (37% say they would be less likely to support a candidate who had been unfaithful), having had personal financial troubles (41% say they would be less likely to support a candidate who had had financial struggles), or having used marijuana in the past (20% would be less likely to support a former pot smoker).
The study also shows that having a president who shares their religious beliefs is important to many Americans, with about half of U.S. adults saying it is “very important” (27%) or “somewhat important” (24%) to have someone in the White House who shares their religious perspective. This view is particularly common among Republicans, among whom roughly two-thirds say it is at least “somewhat important” to them that the president share their religious beliefs.
At the same time, the new survey also finds that the share of Americans who have reservations about voting for an atheist president has been declining over time. As recently as 2007, more than six-in-ten Americans said they would be less likely to support an atheist presidential candidate, while just 51% express this view today. Over this period, the share who say a candidate’s lack of belief would not be a factor in how they vote has been growing.
The new survey finds that Trump is widely viewed as a potentially “good” or “great” president by GOP voters in spite of the fact that, compared with other leading candidates, relatively few Republicans think Trump is a particularly religious person. Overall, 44% of Republicans and those who lean toward the Republican Party say Trump is a “very religious” (5%) or “somewhat religious” (39%) person, while 47% say he is “not too religious” or “not at all religious.” By contrast, fully eight-in-ten Republicans say they think Ben Carson is a religious person, three-quarters view Ted Cruz as a religious person, and seven-in-ten say the same about Marco Rubio.
Being seen as a religious person is generally an asset for candidates; people who think a candidate is a religious person tend to be more likely to see that candidate as a potentially good president. But many Republicans think Trump would be a good president despite his perceived lack of religiousness. Of the 56% of GOP voters who think Trump would be a good or great president, a substantial minority of them (17% of Republican registered voters overall) say they think Trump is not religious. The pattern is very different for the other leading GOP candidates; virtually all Republicans who think Cruz, Rubio and Carson would be successful presidents (and who express a view about their religiousness) also say they view those candidates as at least somewhat religious. Just 2% of GOP voters think Rubio would be a good president and that he is not particularly religious, with just 1% saying the same about Cruz and Carson.
The new survey shows that among religious groups, fully half of white evangelical Protestant voters (including both Republicans and those who identify with the Democratic Party or as political independents) think Trump would make a “good” or a “great” president. Evangelicals – who are among the most reliably Republican religious constituencies in the electorate – express a similar degree of confidence that Carson and Cruz would be successful presidents.1 Evangelical voters are less convinced that other Republican candidates would be good presidents. And few evangelical voters think Bernie Sanders (16%) or Clinton (15%) would be good presidents.
While there are about as many evangelicals who think Trump would be a “good” or “great” president as say the same about Cruz and Carson, there also is considerably more wariness about Trump than about Carson or Cruz; three-in-ten evangelicals (29%) say Trump would be a “poor” or “terrible” president, which is roughly twice the share who say this about either Cruz or Carson.
On the Democratic side, the view that Sanders and Clinton would be good presidents is most common among two reliably Democratic religious constituencies – black Protestants and religiously unaffiliated voters (i.e., religious “nones”). Fully half of religiously unaffiliated registered voters (51%) think Sanders would be a successful president, while four-in-ten (42%) think Clinton would be a good or great president. Among black Protestant voters, about six-in-ten (62%) think Clinton will be a “good” or a “great” president, while 36% say this about Sanders. Among both groups (religious “nones” and black Protestants), just 15% or fewer think any of the Republican candidates would be good presidents. (More information on religious groups’ views of which candidates would be successful presidents is available in Chapter 1 and in the detailed tables included at the end of this report.)
More people view Clinton as “very” or “somewhat” religious than say the same about Sanders. This is true among both the public as a whole (48% vs. 40%) and those who identify with or lean toward the Democratic Party (65% vs. 47%). But the share of Americans who say Hillary Clinton is “not too” or “not at all” religious has risen sharply since 2007. At that time, during the run-up to the campaign for the 2008 Democratic nomination, 24% of adults said Clinton was “not too” or “not at all” religious; today, 43% say she is not religious. Over this period, the share of Americans expressing no opinion about Clinton’s religiousness declined from 22% to 9%, while the share describing her as “very” or “somewhat” religious ticked down from 53% to 48%. The uptick in the view that Clinton is not particularly religious is most pronounced among Republicans, but also seen among Democrats. (See Chapter 1 for more details.)
When asked about their view of religion’s influence in American society, the survey finds that the large majority of U.S. adults continue to believe that religion is losing influence. And most who hold this view – about half of all U.S. adults – say they think religion’s declining influence is a bad thing for American society.
The survey also shows that four-in-ten Americans think there has been too little expression of religious faith and prayer by political leaders, compared with roughly a quarter (27%) who say there has been too much religious talk by politicians. These figures have not changed much since 2014, but they are considerably different from the results of a survey taken at a similar point in the 2012 presidential election cycle. At that time, there were more people who thought there was too much religious discussion (38%) than who said there wasn’t enough (30%).
Other key findings include:
- Candidates are viewed as religious by more people in their own party than the opposing party. The biggest partisan gap on these questions is seen in views about Hillary Clinton; two-thirds of Democrats say she is “very” or “somewhat” religious, while two-thirds of Republicans express the opposite view, saying that she is “not too” or “not at all” religious.
- Like Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama is also seen as less religious today than in 2007; about one-third of adults (35%) now say Obama is “not too” or “not at all” religious, up from 9% in 2007.
- Half of Americans (51%) believe religious conservatives have too much control over the GOP, and more than four-in-ten (44%) think that liberals who are not religious have too much control over the Democratic Party. Partisans are deeply divided on this question. Two-thirds of Democrats say the GOP has been co-opted by religious conservatives, while most Republicans reject this notion. Conversely, two-thirds of Republicans believe that secular liberals have too much power in the Democratic Party, while two-thirds of Democrats disagree.
- One-quarter of adults (26%) say they would be less likely to vote for a gay or lesbian presidential candidate, while 4% say they would be more likely to support such a candidate and seven-in-ten (69%) say it would make no difference to their vote. Since 2007, the share of Americans who say a candidate’s sexual orientation would not matter in their vote has been steadily rising, while the share who say they would be less likely to support a gay or lesbian candidate has been declining.
- There are more than twice as many Republicans who say they would be less likely to support a presidential candidate who has been an elected official in Washington for many years as who would be more likely to support such a candidate (44% vs. 18%). Among Democrats, the balance of opinion leans in the opposite direction; 27% see extensive Washington experience as a positive, compared with 19% who see it as a liability.
The candidate has not endorsed them.
Donald Trump has a new group of supporters, but they may not be the kind the Republican Presidential frontrunner wants.
Homes across Iowa started receiving pro-Trump robocalls on Saturday from a white supremacist group called the American Freedom Party, after the group endorsed the candidate on Friday. The AFP called him their “Great White Hope.”
In the automated calls that the AFP says are not authorized by Trump, leaders of the nationalist group quote the Bible and discuss immigration. In one message, Jared Taylor from the white supremacist website American Renaissancesays: “I urge you to vote for Donald Trump because he is the one candidate who points out that we should accept immigrants who are good for America. We don’t need Muslims. We need smart, well-educated white people who will assimilate to our culture. Vote Trump.”
(Taylor, it turns out, is a former spokesman for the Council of Conservative Citizens — a group which Dylan Roof, the man who killed nine in a mass shooting at a historically black church in Charleston, cited as an inspiration.)
So far, Trump seems to have avoided acknowledging the support in his highly active Twitter feed or campaign website. The Trump campaign has not yet returnedFortune’s request for comment, though this article will be updated if they respond.
The candidate has dodged white supremacists before: When KKK Grand Wizard David Duke told theWashington Post that he was the “best of the lot” of candidates, Trump rebuffed the support. The candidate told Bloomberg News in August, “I don’t need his endorsement; I certainly wouldn’t want his endorsement. I don’t need anyone’s endorsement.” And when asked whether he would repudiate the support, Trump agreed, telling the Bloomberg reporters, “Sure, if it would make you feel better.”
Donald Trump has developed an extremely effective way of dispatching would-be rivals. He tells a less than flattering story about the person. Sometimes he makes accusations head-on. Sometimes he does so more discreetly with hints and innuendo. He’s at his comic best when he pretends he’s doing it to help the person in question.
By an amazing coincidence, Mr. Trump’s allegations, concerns and innuendo all seem to come whenever a fellow candidate begins to gain on him in the polls. It doesn’t matter if his attacks are debunked. It doesn’t matter if most people recognize Mr. Trump’s comments aren’t true. He just keeps repeating the accusation over and over enough times to damage the opponent before moving on.
It may be time for some of his own medicine.
Is Donald Trump a white supremacist?
Goodness knows he’s taken shots at Latinos and at Muslims, but has the smoking gun of his true colors finally leaked out?
Is Donald Trump a white supremacist?
The American National Super PAC, which is organized and funded by the American Freedom Party, recently announced they have paid for “hundreds of thousands” of robo-calls boosting Donald Trump to Iowa voters ahead of the state’s Feb. 1 caucuses. That’s good for Mr. Trumpisn’t it? A super PAC spending money so he doesn’t have to? Not exactly.
The American Freedom Party’s website welcomes you to its site with the following statement. “White Americans should elect a party that advocates for issues and concerns affecting (sic) European Americans.” That’s right, the American Freedom Party is a white supremacist group. It organized a super PAC and that PAC is spending its money pushingDonald Trump as its candidate. Mr. Trump promised he wouldn’t take any help from super PACs. Not only is he reneging on that promise, but he is getting a big push from one — and a white supremacist one at that.
Is Donald Trump a white supremacist?
Trump has not distanced himself from the group. He has not denounced the group nor their message. He’s reaping the benefit of robo-calls to a chunk of the Iowa electorate compliments of white supremacists and he doesn’t seem to have any issue with it at all.
Is Donald Trump a white supremacist?
Imagine the fun Mr. Trump would have with this if it were any of his rivals. He would raise the issue. He would brand the candidate a white supremacist. He would wonder why the other challenger hadn’t disavowed the group’s efforts and he would repeat the opponent’s name and the term “white supremacist” at least a dozen times a day. Perhaps it’s time for someone else to raise the question on the Donald — and raise it again, and again and again.
Is Donald Trump a white supremacist?
According to the way Mr. Trump plays the game, we should assume so until he can prove otherwise beyond the shadow of a doubt.
This article has been updated to clarify that the Council of Conservative Citizens, not the American Freedom Party, was cited by Dylan Roof.
marketwatch: 26th Feb 2016: Trump University first launched in 2005 and it wasn’t a university in a traditional sense. Instead it functioned more as a series of business and real estate-focused seminars — some online — and mentorship programs. In 2010, the company changed its name to the Trump Entrepreneur Initiative after years of pressure for the New York State Education Department, which argued that it was misleading. The program later shut down in 2010.
The court documents, filed in federal court in California, claim that Trump University used radio and newspaper ads to draw students to free seminars with radio and newspaper ads promising access to instructors and information that made Trump a success. Once they got there, they were urged by speakers flanked by banners of Trump to sign up for a “one year apprenticeship” program, offering “a comprehensive real estate education” as well as access to mentors for a year, at the cost of $1,495, the documents claim.
The one-year program turned out to be a three-day seminar aimed at convincing students to pay $34,995 for a “full education,” the lawsuit alleges. During the program, students were told to raise their credit card limits by four times so they could purchase property. However, the students were then asked to use the increased credit to buy the “Gold Program” seminar, the documents claim. Students were told that participating in this program would give them access to mentors and deals that would teach them how to earn up to tens of thousands of dollars a month doing real-estate investing, the lawsuit claims. Instead, few deals materialized and mentors disappeared after two days looking at properties and a half day trip to Home Depot, according to court documents.
Tarla Makaeff, the lead plaintiff in the case, spent nearly $60,000 to pay for Trump University products over the course of one year, the lawsuit claims. What she got in return were two offers for real estate deals that were “flawed” and “appeared unprofitable,” the lawsuit says.
New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman also filed a $40 million suit against Trump in 2013 over Trump University. Shortly after filing the suit, Schneiderman claimed Trump University used “Trump’s name recognition and celebrity status to take advantage of consumers who believed in the Trump brand.”
reuters.com: A former finance co-chair of Chris Christie's presidential campaign on Sunday slammed Christie's recent endorsement of Donald Trump, according to NBC, calling for the New Jersey governor's supporters to reject the Republican front-runner.
"Chris Christie's endorsement of Donald Trump is an astonishing display of political opportunism. Donald Trump is unfit to be president," Meg Whitman, chief executive officer of Hewlett-Packard, said in a statement reported by NBC's "Meet the Press" program.
Christie, appearing on ABC's "This Week" program, responded by describing Whitman "a great friend" with a different political opinion. "And that's OK. That's what makes this country great is that people can have differences of political opinion," he said.
Just days before the Super Tuesday nominating contests, Christie on Friday became the most prominent mainstream Republican to get behind the billionaire Republican front-runner and former reality TV star, declaring Trump to have the best chance of defeating Democrat Hillary Clinton in the Nov. 8 U.S. presidential election.
But Whitman's statement said the New Jersey governor made his statement despite his own public misgivings about a Trump presidency.
"Trump would take America on a dangerous journey. Christie knows all that and indicated as much many times publicly," Whitman said.
Trump's unorthodox candidacy has shaken the Republican Party and has drawn increasingly vehement criticism from his rivals. But a growing number of senior Republicans are becoming resigned to the idea he will be their candidate in November.
Christie, who withdrew his own White House bid earlier this month, denied that he reversed course on Trump after promising New Hampshire Union Leader newspaper publisher Joe McQuaid that he would not endorse him after the billionaire won the state's Feb. 9 primary election.
"It's just not true. He called me two days after the primary and said, I was just told that you're about to endorse Donald Trump. And I said to him, that's absolutely untrue. I'm not about to endorse anybody," Christie told ABC.
Saya sangat bersyukur kepada Ibu Fraanca Smith karena telah memberi saya
BalasHapuspinjaman sebesar Rp900.000.000,00 saya telah berhutang selama
bertahun-tahun sehingga saya mencari pinjaman dengan sejarah kredit nol dan
saya telah ke banyak rumah keuangan untuk meminta bantuan namun semua
menolak saya karena rasio hutang saya yang tinggi dan sejarah kredit rendah
yang saya cari di internet dan tidak pernah menyerah saya membaca dan
belajar tentang Franca Smith di salah satu blog saya menghubungi franca
smith konsultan kredit via email:(francasmithloancompany@gmail.com) dengan
keyakinan bahwa pinjaman saya diberikan pada awal tahun ini tahun dan
harapan datang lagi, kemudian saya menyadari bahwa tidak semua perusahaan
pinjaman di blog benar-benar palsu karena semua hautang finansial saya
telah diselesaikan, sekarang saya memiliki nilai yang sangat besar dan
usaha bisnis yang patut ditiru, saya tidak dapat mempertahankan ini untuk
diri saya jadi saya harus memulai dengan membagikan kesaksian perubahan
hidup ini yang dapat Anda hubungi Ibu franca Smith via email:(
francasmithloancompany@gmail.com)
Apakah Anda mencari pinjaman untuk memulai bisnis atau proyek yang sesuai keinginan Anda? Di KARINA ROLAND LOAN COMPANY, kami menawarkan semua jenis bantuan keuangan untuk semua individu yang membutuhkan pinjaman seperti "pinjaman pribadi, pinjaman investasi, pinjaman rumah dan perusahaan pinjaman di seluruh dunia, suku bunga kami adalah 2% per tahun. Kami juga memberikan saran keuangan dan Bantuan untuk klien dan pelamar kami. Jika Anda memiliki proyek yang baik atau ingin memulai bisnis dan memerlukan pinjaman untuk segera membiayainya, kami dapat membicarakannya, menandatangani kontrak, dan kemudian mendanai proyek atau bisnis Anda untuk Anda bersama dengan Bank Dunia dan Bank Industri.
BalasHapusHubungi KARINA ROLAND LOAN COMPANY hari ini untuk mata uang yang Anda inginkan.
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PERUSAHAAN LOAN ROLAND KARINA ELENA
Email: karinaloancompany @ gmail com WhatsApp only +1 (585) 708-3478.
Nama Facebook: Karina Elena Roland
Salam! Salam!! Salam semuanya !!!
BalasHapusSaya punya kabar baik untuk Anda semua. Saya mencoba menyimpannya untuk diri saya sendiri tetapi saya tidak bisa berhasil dan menyaksikan penderitaan sesama manusia. Nama saya Ampang Luci Burhan dari kota Semarang di Indonesia bersama suami dan anak-anak.
Saya ingin semua orang membaca pesan ini dengan cermat. Saya sangat senang memberikan kesaksian tentang bagaimana saya mendapatkan pinjaman saya, pemberi pinjaman kredit yang sah, saya telah menderita di tangan pemberi pinjaman internet palsu di halaman web tertentu, saya telah digunakan di beberapa perusahaan pinjaman di sini dan yang mereka lakukan hanyalah bertanya saya untuk pembayaran dan setelah pembayaran, saya tidak akan mendapatkan pinjaman dari mereka, mereka adalah orang-orang palsu dari Inggris dan India. Saya kesakitan karena hutang saya, dan saya dibayar pembayaran lain untuk mendapatkan pinjaman untuk membuat hutang saya lebih besar. Saya senang ketika teman saya memberi tahu saya bahwa dia mendapat pinjaman melalui internet, dia adalah orang yang memberi tahu saya tentang REBACCA ALMA LOAN COMPANY, dan saya memohon pinjaman 3 Miliar Rupiah, saya mengikuti semua prosedur, saya berpikir bahwa Saya tidak akan mendapatkan pinjaman, tetapi saya sangat senang bahwa pinjaman saya diteruskan dan dikirimkan ke rekening bank saya dalam waktu 2 hari setelah verifikasi dan otentikasi. Sekarang saya telah berdiri di perusahaan saya yang sebelumnya. Saya telah membayar semua hutang saya sekarang dan saya memiliki kedudukan keuangan yang stabil ketika saya menulis pesan ini. Jadi, jika ada orang di sini yang ingin mengajukan pinjaman, Anda harus menghubungi MRS REBACCA ALMA LOAN COMAPNY dalam emailnya, mereka adalah satu-satunya pemberi pinjaman nyata, yang lain palsu. Cukup ikuti semua prosedur dalam Rabacca Alma Loan dan saya jamin Anda akan mendapat pinjaman, sebaiknya Anda tidak kehilangan uang seperti saya.
Rabacca Alma Meminjamkan The Good Mother Rincian Kontak. Silakan hubungi dia dia sah.
Nama: Rebacca Alma
Telepon: +14052595662
WhatsApp: +14052595662
https://Instagram.com/rebaccaalma
e_mail: rebaccaalmaloancompany@gmail.com
Situs web: https://rebaccaalmaloancompany.blogspot.com
Hubungi saya juga sehingga saya dapat memberikan informasi dan perkumpulan lebih lanjut:
Email Saya: ampanglusiburhan@gmail.com
Nama: Ampang Luci Burhan
Alamat: Semarang
Negara: Indonesia
Telepon: +62 81223046876
WhatsApp: +62 81223046876
Assalamualaikum Warahmatullahi Wabarakatuh
Tolong kalian semua harus membaca apa yang saya katakan. . . .
BalasHapusBiarkan saya perkenalkan dulu diri saya, Nama saya Adhityas Kripsiani, saya berasal dari kota Bandung, saya bekerja sebagai karyawan di salah satu perusahaan di Yogyakarta.
Harapan saya dan impian tertinggi saya adalah ingin memiliki bisnis atau toko sendiri, tetapi jika Anda hanya mengandalkan gaji Anda, mungkin butuh waktu yang sangat lama di mana biaya sewa dan anak-anak yang telah terakumulasi hanya akan lebih sulit dan lebih lama mimpi itu tidak akan terwujud
Saya mencoba "buka internet dan saya melihat tulisan orang-orang sukses yang dibantu oleh seorang klerus dari sana saya mencoba untuk menghubunginya, pada awalnya saya terus mengirim sms sampai saya mendapat balasan dari perusahaan yang merupakan awal kesuksesan saya. Jika Anda mau untuk mendapatkan cara mudah menuju SOLUSI MUDAH, CEPAT MEMBAYAR HUTANG ANDA, DAN MASALAH EKONOMI LAINNYA, TANPA KEBUTUHAN RITUAL, CEPAT CEPAT. Saya mencoba menghubungi Perusahaan Pinjaman Rebacca Alma dengan kompensasi yang sama untuk impian saya dan untuk membayar hutang, terima kasih Tuhan kepada Tuhan yang maha kuasa melalui bantuannya. Saya sekarang membuka bisnis distribusi di Bandung. Sekali lagi saya ingin mengucapkan terima kasih banyak kepada Erlina Tuty Sartika untuk merujuk saya ke perusahaan pinjaman tempat saya mencapai impian saya sekarang.
Hubungi ibu yang baik REBACCA ALMA LOAN COMPANY melalui emailnya: rebaccaalmaloancompany@gmail.com Untuk penjelasan lebih rinci, silakan. Anda juga dapat menghubunginya melalui Whatsapp +14052595662
Anda mungkin ingin mengajukan pertanyaan, hubungi saya melalui email saya adhityaskripsiani@gmail.com. Anda juga dapat menghubungi wanita yang merujuk saya ke perusahaan pinjaman yang sah ini. Erlina Tuty Sartika email: erlinatutysartika15@gmail.com
Anda tidak perlu ragu atau dibodohi dan dikejar-kejar oleh hutang lagi, sekarang saya berbagi pengalaman yang saya rasakan dan buktikan. Semoga bermanfaat. Amin ...
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