HARD BREXIT: (ihsg 29 Maret 2017) (ihsg per tgl 02-10 Juni 2016 (RIP: Muhammad Ali, the boxing legend; BREXIT no way)... kembali DI ATAS 4900)

tren harga saham ADRO, ANTM, ELSA, n INDY, saham terkait TAMBANG yang gw INVES @ awal 2016, naek bo :)

LONDON. Fondasi perekonomian London mulai goyang. Tingkat ketersediaan lapangan pekerjaan melemah dan sektor real estate di ibukota mengalami pendinginan. Berdasarkan laporan The Centre for London yang dirilis Selasa (18/7), kondisi ini terjadi seiring persiapan Inggris untuk hengkang dari Uni Eropa.

"Saat tidak ada yang mengetahui bagaimana Brexit akan berlangsung, analisis terbaru ini menunjukkan bahwa ekonomi London mulai goyang," jelas Ben Rogers, direktur The Centre for London.

Asal tahu saja, London berkontribusi sekitar 13% dari total perekonomian Inggris. Dan kota ini menjadi magnet bagi para imigran yang bekerja di industri keuangan dan teknologi.

Namun, keputusan Inggris untuk hengkang dari Uni Eropa mengancam kekuatan yang menyokong ekonomi London selama ini.

Tingkat pengangguran kota London melonjak ke rekor terendah di level 5,5%. Namun, laporan ini menemukan bahwa tingkat penciptaan lapangan kerja baru mengalami perlambatan. "Ini mengindikasikan rebound ekonomi London pasca resesi kemungkinan sudah berakhir," tulis The Centre for London.

Selain itu, ada penurunan tajam pada pendaftaran pekerja asing. Di sisi lain, jumlah warga yang mendaftar untuk mendapatkan nomor Asuransi Nasional (National Insurance), yang dibutuhkan untuk bekerja, turun sebesar 15% pada kuartal lalu di London.

"Penurunan secara signifikan jumlah Asuransi Nasional, khususnya bagi mereka yang data dari negara lain di Uni Eropa, menjadi data penting yang menunjukkan bahwa migrasi dengan tujuan bekerja ke Inggris mengalami perlambatan," kata Jonathan Portes, profesor di King's College London.

Pasar properti London juga mendingin: pertumbuhan harga rumah di Londonmelonjak 14% pada awal 2016. Tapi sejak saat itu terus kehilangan momentumnya.

Kejadian terburuk bagi London diprediksi belum terjadi. Banyak perusahaan finansial besar, termasuk JPMorgan Chase, UBS, HSBC, dan Goldman Sachs, mengatakan bahwa mereka akan memindahkan kantor, investasi atau keduanya keluar dari Inggris karena alasan Brexit.

Walikota London Sadiq Khan, yang berkampanye melawan Brexit, mengatakan bahwa dirinya memahami pelaku bisnis menginginkan kepastian. Namun dia menekankan, sejumlah perusahaan besar masih berkomitmen untuk berinvestasi di Indonesia.

Dia menyebut Snapchat dan Google sebagai dua perusahaan besar yang sudah mengumumkan rencananya untuk mendirikan kantor baru di London pasca referendum Uni Eropa.

Kendati demikian, ada setitik sinar terang dalam kondisi buruk yang dialami London. Sektor pariwisata London mengalami booming akibat melorotnya nilai tukar poundsterling pasca Brexit.

Sekitar 4,5 juta turis datang ke London pada kuartal pertama 2017. Angka ini naik hampir 16% dibanding tahun sebelumnya.

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bbc: 29th of March, 2017: Theresa May has signed the letter that will formally begin the UK's departure from the European Union.

Giving official notice under Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty, it will be delivered to European Council president Donald Tusk on Wednesday.

In a statement in the Commons, the prime minister will then tell MPs this marks "the moment for the country to come together".

It follows June's referendum which resulted in a vote to leave the EU.

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Theresa May will trigger Article 50 on Wednesday 29 March - this is the moment we tell the European Union we are officially leaving.

The Prime Minister's spokesperson said Mrs May has told European Council President Donald Tusk he will be getting a letter next Wednesday.

The letter will officially begin the Brexit process, which Mrs May pledged would commence before the end of March.

She will then make a statement to the House of Commons following Prime Minister's Questions.

Britain will then face the most intense, arduous and complex negotiations since the end of the Second World War.

Both the EU and the Government agree on one thing: this is ‘unprecedented’ territory and neither side knows how the talks will pan out.
Here is your guide to what happens next, the key players and the issues which could make or break the negotiations.

The President of the European Council Donald Tusk says he will present the EU's initial response within 48 hours of Article 50 being triggered.

This will set out the draft guidelines for how the 27 EU countries intend to approach the negotiations.

Mr Tusk will then arrange a special summit of the EU27, expected to be held within the next few weeks, where they will finalise their objectives for Brexit.

These instructions will be handed to Michel Barnier, the European Commission's chief negotiator.

As the European Parliament will also want a say it could be several weeks before the formal talks begin.

Many in the EU believe no serious negotiations can take place until after the new French president is elected in May.

Who will lead the talks?

The negotiations will be overseen by Theresa May and led by David Davis, the Secretary for State for Exiting the EU.

Most of the heavy lifting will be done by Oliver Robbins, the permanent secretary at the Department for Exiting the EU, Sir Tim Barrow, our ambassador to Brussels, and his deputy Shan Morgan.

The EU lead negotiator is Barnier, a right-wing French politician who was the country’s former Foreign minister.

He will be assisted by the Belgian Didier Seeuws, a former chief of Herman Van Rompuy, and a team of 30 officials.

How long will the Brexit negotiations take?

Once Theresa May has triggered Article 50 there are two years to complete the negotiations.

But Mr Barnier has said that in reality there will be just 18 months.

No negotiations can begin until the European Council has authorised the guidelines, which could take several weeks.

Then the talks have to be completed in time for the European Parliament and the European Council to ratify them.

This means the talks will have to finished by October 2018.

Will they be done in that time?

There is an outside chance that an agreement could be struck before October 2018 but most accept it will take much longer.

Mrs May has indicated the UK will seek “transitional arrangements” - this means we could continue trading under EU rules to allow the talks to be extended.

But this would require the approval of the European Parliament and the other 27 countries.

What other problems does Theresa May face?

The final Brexit deal - approving the UK leaving the EU - can be ratified by a qualified majority of the 27 EU leaders.

But any new trade deal requires an unanimous vote of all 27 countries and most likely the approval of their national and, in some countries, regional parliaments.

A free trade between Canada and the EU was almost derailed at the last moment because the Walloon region of Belgium objected to the terms .

The UK could face a similar stumbling block.

What is the first item they will discuss?

The first item on the agenda will be to agree the format and timetable for the negotiations.

Britain believes the wording of Article 50 means we can negotiate a new trade treaty at the same time as negotiating our exit from the EU.

The first flashpoint could be if the European Commission says that we have to agree our exit before any talks on trade can begin.

The negotiations will then cover the divorce bill, rights of EU and UK citizens, access to the single market and the customs union and our membership of various EU bodies such as the European Medicines Agency, Europol and the European Aviation Space Agency.

What are the chances of getting a deal?

Theresa May wants the “greatest possible access” to the single market through a free trade deal. She also wants some form of customs union agreement.

At the same time she wants to regain control of borders and end the UK being subject to the European Court of Justice.

Barnier has said his priority is to “preserve the unity” of the EU27.

He has also said that cherry picking by the UK “is not an option” when it comes to single market access.

The talks will hinge on how much the EU is willing to put its commercial interests ahead of its political ones.

It will want to maintain trading links with the UK but will not want to give special favours that will undermine the cohesion of the EU by granting non members equal conditions to members.

And everything could be thrown up in the air if France elects Marine Le Pen in May and Angela Merkel loses the German elections in September

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Prime Minister May will write a letter to the European Union on March 29 to formally announce Britain's withdrawal from the soon-to-be 27 member bloc, a spokesman for the British leader said on Monday.

The UK informed European Council President Donald Tusk's office of May's intention, the spokesman added.

Triggering Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty will start the clock on two years of formal negotiations, at the end of which Britain will leave the EU. The British parliament backed May's Article 50 plan last week after 51.9 percent of participants voted for Brexit in a referendum last June.

"Next Wednesday, the government will deliver on that decision and formally start the process by triggering Article 50," Brexit Minister David Davis said in a statement.

"We are on the threshold of the most important negotiation for this country for a generation."

EU is 'ready'

The European Commission said on Monday that it is prepared to begin Brexit negotiations after the British government confirmed the date it will launch the process.

"Everything is ready on this side," Margaritis Schinas, the chief spokesman for the EU executive, told a regular news briefing.

He added that negotiations would begin after other EU states met to confirm the Commission's negotiating mandate.

On Twitter, Tusk said that he would present the other 27 member states with draft Brexit negotiating guidelines within 48 hours of the UK triggering Article 50.

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SKY NEWS : If the UK government sticks to its timetable, Article 50 will be triggered by the end of the month. But how and when? And what happens next?

:: First, a reminder: What is Article 50?

The referendum was the UK's signal that it wants to leave the European Union. Article 50 is the formal notification of the UK's intention to leave - the start of a divorce process which lasts for two years.

The article itself is a short, five-point text, enshrined into EU law as part of the Lisbon Treaty in 2009. Prior to that, there was no process at all for leaving the EU.

Theresa May and Nigel Farage both making speeches about Brexit

The text is vague, brief and open to interpretation. Crucially, it has never been tested before because no member has ever left the EU.

There is no precedent, no pattern to follow and so the process and procedures are unclear.

:: How is Article 50 triggered?

Because of the lack of precedent, the mechanics of triggering it are only now being mulled over officials in London and in Brussels.

The only requirement is that the notification is done in writing to the President of the European Council. It could be as simple as one line and send in the form of an email.

However, given the gravity of the decision and the symbolism of the moment, it's possible the UK government will make more of it.

The notification letter may include a reference to the UK government's repeated desire that the EU remains a strong partner for Britain post Brexit.

Maybe they will also use the moment to guarantee, in principle, the rights of EU citizens living in the UK post-Brexit - an olive branch ahead of negotiations?

In terms of delivery, if an email is not deemed to be enough, the notification could be hand delivered to the European Council building in Brussels.

But by whom? Perhaps Britain's Ambassador to the EU, Sir Tim Barrow or the Brexit Secretary, David Davis MP?

:: When will it be triggered?

In the absence of anything concrete, there is plenty of guesswork on when Mrs May will pull the trigger. Time is running out for the PM to meet her own deadline of the end of March and the timetable is complicated by politics and sensitivities, both in the UK and in Europe.

The current favourite day is Tuesday, 14 March. Domestically the Brexit bill should have cleared both Houses of Parliament in Westminster by Monday night.

Mrs May was due to give a statement about last Thursday's EU summit to the Commons on Monday. But she has moved the statement to Tuesday, perhaps to announce the triggering?

Tuesday isn't the most tactful day to choose. The following day - 15 March - all eyes will be on the Dutch election; a potentially tricky moment for the EU if anti-EU far-right candidate Geert Wilders does well.

To trigger it around such an important election would also dominate the news agenda and could, potentially, influence Dutch voters.

If Tuesday, 14 March, isn't chosen, the timetable gets tricky the following week, too. The 25 March is the 60th anniversary of the Treaty of Rome, which laid the foundations of the present-day EU. The heads of state from all EU members (except the UK) will gather in Rome for a weekend of celebrations. Not a good time to make a point about leaving.

:: Is the UK still a member of the EU after Article 50 has been triggered?

Yes. The UK will remain a member of the EU for precisely two years from the day of the triggering.

So, if Article 50 is triggered on 31 March 2017, the UK would cease to be a member of the EU at the end of the day on 31 March 2019.

During that two-year period, the UK is still bound by EU laws and regulations. It is also entitled to near-full membership rights but must also honour its commitments as a member and those include financial.

The only areas in the two-year period where the UK is excluded from EU affairs are when the 27 remaining countries are discussing the UK withdrawal or where they are discussing internal EU business.

:: Once Article 50 has been triggered, is there any turning back?

The Article 50 text does not say whether it is reversible and European Union lawyers have never pronounced on the issue.

There is logic to this; if it became clear that it was reversible it would lose its credibility as a one-way ticket out of the club.

In the end, in the unlikely event that the UK decided it wanted to stay in the EU after all, politics - not law - would determine whether Article 50 could be reversed.

Indeed, in the clearest hint yet that the door will remain open, the president of the European Commission Jean-Claude Juncker said on Friday, 10 March: "The day will come when the British will re-enter the boat, I hope."

:: So negotiations between the UK and the EU will begin as soon as Article 50 is triggered?

Not quite. There is a common misconception that in week one after the triggering, the two negotiators - Michel Barnier for the EU and David Davis for the UK - will face off across a table and begin negotiations for Britain's exit.

But it won't work like that for several reasons.

The EU Council President Donald Tusk has said the EU side will issue a formal response and broad guidelines within 48 hours of the triggering of Article 50.

However, senior sources at the heart of the negotiating process say the EU will need eight weeks to draw up the full guidelines. In that period (probably in early April) there will be an emergency summit of the 27 remaining EU members after which they will formally issue their negotiating topics and red lines.

Hitherto, the EU has presented a united front on Brexit - but it will quickly become clear that many of the negotiating topics and red lines are unique to individual states; things will become more granular, complicated and divided.

It will be up to the European Council's behind-the-scenes Brexit negotiator, Belgian diplomat Didier Seeuws, to co-ordinate with the member countries and try to keep negotiations on track.

In terms of the characters involved in the negotiations, Michel Barnier is the chief negotiator on behalf of the EU Commission - but the negotiations will be carried out by huge teams on both sides.

Some issues will be negotiated at a lower level and others will involve such important and divisive decisions, they will be well above Mr Barnier's pay-grade - they are likely to be negotiated by the leaders themselves.

:: What if the withdrawal process takes longer than the designated two years?

The exit clock starts the moment Article 50 is triggered. Precisely two years later the UK ceases to be a member of the EU.

In that period, the negotiations for the exit must be concluded.

This is an extremely unrealistic timetable to conclude such complicated negotiations; in reality, because of the time taken at the beginning and end of the process to wind up and wind down the negotiations, the actual time negotiating will probably be 15 months at best.

The two-year Article 50 period can be extended, and the UK continue to be an EU member, but only if all 27 remaining countries agree to it unanimously.

:: Article 50 - the full text

1. Any Member State may decide to withdraw from the Union in accordance with its own constitutional requirements.

2. A Member State which decides to withdraw shall notify the European Council of its intention. In the light of the guidelines provided by the European Council, the union shall negotiate and conclude an agreement with that state, setting out the arrangements for its withdrawal, taking account of the framework for its future relationship with the union. That agreement shall be negotiated in accordance with Article 218(3) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union. It shall be concluded on behalf of the union by the council, acting by a qualified majority, after obtaining the consent of the European Parliament.

3. The Treaties shall cease to apply to the state in question from the date of entry into force of the withdrawal agreement or, failing that, two years after the notification referred to in paragraph 2, unless the European Council, in agreement with the member state concerned, unanimously decides to extend this period.

4. For the purposes of paragraphs 2 and 3, the member of the European Council or of the council representing the withdrawing member state shall not participate in the discussions of the European Council or council or in decisions concerning it.

A qualified majority shall be defined in accordance with Article 238(3)(b) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.

5. If a state which has withdrawn from the union asks to rejoin, its request shall be subject to the procedure referred to in Article 49.

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The House of Lords has passed the Brexit bill, paving the way for the government to trigger Article 50 so the UK can leave the EU.

Peers backed down over the issues of EU residency rights and a meaningful vote on the final Brexit deal after their objections were overturned by MPs.

The bill is expected to receive Royal Assent and become law on Tuesday.

The BBC's Laura Kuenssberg said this would leave Theresa May free to push the button on withdrawal talks.

Parliament Live: Brexit bill debate

Brexit: all you need to know

How big is May's Brexit majority?

What is Article 50? What happens next?

The prime minister could theoretically invoke Article 50, which formally starts the Brexit process, as early as Tuesday.

However, Downing Street sources have said this will not happen this week and the PM is expected to wait until the end of the month to officially notify the EU of the UK's intention to leave, thus beginning what is expected to be a two-year process.

"Parliament has today backed the government in its determination to get on with the job of leaving the EU," Brexit Secretary David Davis said. "We are now on the threshold of the most important negotiation for our country in a generation."

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Peers in the unelected House of Lords voted on Wednesday 358 to 256 for an amendment requiring ministers to protect the rights of more than three million European Union and European Economic Area (EEA) citizens after Britain leaves the 28-member bloc.

Under the alteration, the government would be committed to guaranteeing that EU citizens living legally in Britain when the bill is passed "continue to be treated in the same way with regards to their EU-derived rights." staclefor PM

The alteration thereby delays the bill which will empower Prime Minister Theresa May to trigger Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty and begin two years of formal divorce talks between the UK and the EU.

The departure was prompted by June's referendum which saw 52 percent of the UK vote in favor of leaving the EU.

Prior to Wednesday's vote, however, May said her timetable for triggering Article 50 would not change.

"It is, indeed, my plan to trigger by the end of March," she told MPs.

'Can't do negotiations with people's futures'

A spokeswoman for the conservative government's Brexit department said in a statement that it was disappointed by the vote.

"We are disappointed the Lords have chosen to amend a bill that the Commons passed without amendment," the statement read.

"Our position on EU nationals has repeatedly been made clear. We want to guarantee the rights of EU citizens who are already living in Britain, and the rights of British nationals living in other member states, as early as we can."

On the contrary, Labour Party Brexit spokeswoman in the Lords, Dianne Hayter, said the amendment was crucial because Europeans living in Britain "need to know now, not in two years' time or even 12 months' time" what their rights are.

"You can't do negotiations with people's futures. They're too precious to be used as bargaining chips," Hayter said.

Return to the Commons

Despite Wednesday's vote, the amendment is not yet binding and must now be returned to the elected lower house, the House of Commons, where there is a good chance it will be rejected.

Britain is ready for a 'hard' BrexitBy leaving the EU, the UK will be withdrawing from the bloc's policy of free movement, which allows citizens of the bloc's 28 member states to live and work in any of the others.

As a result, some three million EU nationals in Britain, and 1 million Brits in other member countries still remain uncertain as to whether they will be able to stay in their jobs and homes once Britain reasserts control over EU immigration.

May's Tory government has repeatedly claimed that it plans to guarantee the right of EU citizens to remain in Britain, as long as UK nationals living elsewhere in the bloc get the same right.

Critics, however, have accused the government of treating people as bargaining chips in the Brexit negotiations.

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2017-02-08

Britain's House of Commons gave its final approval Wednesday to a bill authorising the government to start exit talks with the EU, despite fears by opposition lawmakers that the UK is setting out on the rocky path to Brexit.

As the votes were being tallied, a few pro-EU legislators whistled Beethoven's "Ode to Joy," the bloc's anthem. But the decisive 494-122 result was another big step on Britain's road to the EU exit door.

The bill now goes to the House of Lords, which has the power to delay - but not to derail - the legislation; it should become law within weeks.

Lawmakers had backed the bill by a 498-114 margin during an earlier vote last week, so Wednesday's result by a similar margin was not a surprise.

It came after three days of debate in which opposition lawmakers tried to pass amendments guaranteeing Parliament a bigger role in the divorce process and setting rules for the government's negotiations with the 27 other EU nations.

Pro-Brexit Conservative Iain Duncan Smith said that "tonight we have started the process of delivering on ... what the people wanted." But Liberal Democrat leader Tim Farron, who opposed the bill, vowed to fight on.

"In a democracy, you respect the result but you do not wave the white flag and give up," he said.

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London, Feb 8, 2017 (AFP)

MPs look set to approve a bill on Wednesday empowering Prime Minister Theresa May to start Brexit negotiations, in a major step towards Britain leaving the European Union.

Seven months after the historic referendum vote to leave the 28-nation bloc, the House of Commons is expected to grant its approval for May to trigger Article 50 of the EU's Lisbon Treaty.

The bill would still need to pass through the House of Lords, where there may be more opposition from unelected peers less concerned about defying the majority of voters who backed Brexit in the June vote.

But if, as expected, the bill passes its Commons stage in a vote late Wednesday, May will be significantly closer to her goal of starting the two-year exit talks by the end of March.

Under pressure from MPs, the government was forced to concede on Tuesday that parliament would have a vote on the final Brexit deal before it is sent to the European Parliament for approval.

The move helped fend off a rebellion by pro-European members of May's Conservative party, who had threatened to back an opposition amendment to the two-clause bill.

But ministers stressed that if lawmakers rejected the final deal, the alternative was not to return to negotiations but to leave the EU without an agreement.

"This will be a meaningful vote. It will be a choice between leaving the European Union with a negotiated deal or not," Brexit minister David Jones said.

- 'Nightmare scenario' -

More than two-thirds of MPs campaigned against Brexit in the deeply divisive runup to the June referendum, but after 52 percent of Britons voted to leave the EU, most have reluctantly accepted that they must uphold the result.

When May introduced her Brexit bill last month, following a Supreme Court ruling that she must seek parliament's approval to start the divorce process, the opposition Labour party promised not to block it.

Some 47 Labour MPs rebelled to vote against the legislation, backed by the Scottish National Party (SNP) and the smaller Liberal Democrats party, and more could defy their party leadership on Wednesday.

Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn has come under pressure over his reaction to the Brexit vote, and a mass rebellion on Wednesday threatens to plunge his embattled party into an even deeper crisis.

In a symbolic move on Tuesday, the SNP-dominated Scottish parliament voted overwhelmingly against the bill passing through Westminster.

But there are not enough critics to thwart the bill, with the vote due at 8 pm (2000 GMT), and efforts to amend it to tie the government's hands in negotiations have so far failed.

Britain will become the first country to leave the EU after four decades of membership and the June vote sent shockwaves through Europe.

Many MPs are opposed to May's decision to prioritise controlling EU migration into Britain in the talks, at the cost of losing membership of Europe's single market, currently over 500 million people.

Concerns over losing access to the continental trading zone have sent the pound plunging around 15 percent against the dollar.

Brexit minister Jones said the "final draft agreement" on leaving the EU would be put to MPs and peers before it was put to the European Parliament for ratification.

A number of lawmakers are sceptical that both the exit terms and a new trade deal can be agreed within two years of talks.

But Jones said he was confident of getting agreement on both areas, but said that if there was no deal, Britain would fall back on World Trade Organization rules to determine its trade with the EU.

Labour MP Chris Leslie warned: "On the nightmare scenario, that we could leave the EU with no deal at all, and face damaging barriers to trade with Europe, it seems parliament could have no say whatsoever."

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time.com: Britain is prepared to make a clean economic break from the E.U. What does that entail?

In a major speech on Tuesday, British Prime Minister Theresa May will clear up months of speculation about what sort of relationship Britain will seek to have with the E.U. once it leaves the bloc.

According to remarks reported over the weekend, she will say the United Kingdom is prepared to make a clean break from the European Union’s common market, or what has become known as a ‘hard Brexit.’

May will say that Britain will not be “half-in, half-out” of the E.U.” or “hold on to bits of membership as we leave,” as she lays out her negotiating objectives at London’s Lancaster House. The Prime Minister has pledged to trigger Article 50 of the E.U. treaty — the formal mechanism to begin the process of depature — by the end of March.

Current Ti/

The term is thought have been coined more than year before the referendum, in a Feb. 2015 report to HSBC clients by Simon Wells and Liz Martins. In the report, the economists distinguished between hard and soft exits from the E.U.; the former, they said, would be a “huge risk” and “operationally complicated” while the latter is “less risky, but maintains much of the status quo.”

A hard Brexit arrangement means the U.K. will give up full access to the E.U’s single market in order to have full control over its borders. It would also likely mean a withdrawal from the E.U.’s customs union.

The single market is an economic arrangement between E.U. member states and a few others who agree to four fundamental freedoms: the free movement of services, goods, capital and people. The customs union ensures E.U. member states and others each charge the same import duties on goods from countries outside the bloc. Membership also allows countries to enjoy tariff-free goods transport.

Given Britain’s vote to leave the E.U. was driven, amongst other things, by a desire to put stronger restrictions on immigration the government insists that it must regain control of its borders as part of any ‘Brexit.’ As membership of the single market requires free movement of E.U. citizens, Britain must leave in order to do that. Britain’s minister of international trade, Liam Fox, has also said a Britain outside the E.U. would be free to sign its own trade deals, which would entail withdrawal from the customs union.

What Britain gains, in theory, is full control over immigration and the ability to sign independent trade deals. But post-Brexit the government will be under pressure to quickly make new trade pacts with not only the economic bloc, but also countries around the globe, as tariffs will be imposed in line with World Trade Organization rules.

Institutions and economists have also warned a clean break with the E.U.’s trading zones could severely disrupt the economy if alternative mechanisms are not quickly set up. In 2015, around 44% of all U.K.’s exports in goods and services went to the E.U. Banks would have to give up their “passporting” rights, which allows them to provide services in the E.U. while based in London. The British Retail Consortium has warned that severing ties could see an overall rise in prices of goods in shops.

A “soft Brexit” — which some in industry and in Theresa May’s own Conservative Party had wanted — would have allowed Britain to retain some form of access to the single market by maintaining the free movement of people. However as the HSBC report of 2015 said, this would have kept much of the status quo intact — which is not what 52% of voters wanted when they chose Brexit last year.

per tgl 18 Januari 2017: Theresa May risking the loss of billions of pounds and plummeting GDP, if both Brussels and the UK’s Parliament fail to give her what she wants. In an act of brinkmanship, the Prime Minister warned she will walk away from EU withdrawal talks without a future trade agreement if other countries try to impose a "bad deal".

She agreed to give British MPs a vote on any terms she does agree, but her office then said that if the House of Commons dares to reject them, the UK would still leave the EU, most likely without any other agreement in place.

Ms May deployed the threats despite the Treasury’s own estimations having previously suggested quitting the EU without a new arrangement could strip £66bn from the national income, with GDP dropping by up to 9.5 per cent.

She also confirmed that Britain will leave the EU’s single market – despite backing membership less than a year ago – to regain control of immigration policy and said she wants to renegotiate the UK's customs agreement and seek a transition period to phase in changes.

Speaking to an audience of foreign dignitaries and journalists at Lancaster House, Ms May started her speech diplomatically, telling EU leaders directly that Britain wants the Union to succeed and admitting there would be "compromises".

But after reeling through 12 negotiating priorities and saying Britain "wants" to remain a friend to Europe, she added: "I know there are some voices calling for a punitive deal that punishes Britain and discourages other countries from taking the same path.

"That would be an act of calamitous self-harm for the countries of Europe. And it would not be the act of a friend.

"Britain would not – indeed we could not – accept such an approach. And while I am confident that this scenario need never arise – while I am sure a positive agreement can be reached – I am equally clear that no deal for Britain is better than a bad deal for Britain."

Ms May also confirmed the Government will put any final deal agreed to a vote in both Houses of Parliament before it comes into force.

But after the Prime Minister sidestepped a question on what would happen if Parliament rejects the deal, her officials were clearer.

Her spokesperson said: "We will be leaving the EU.

"We will be having a negotiation. The outcome – MPs will have the opportunity to vote on that. Obviously we are focussed on going after that bright future and that new relationship…but whatever happens we will be leaving the EU."

Ms May argued that leaving with no replacement deal would be more damaging for European nations than the UK, which could still trade on the continent, strike new agreements elsewhere and transform its economic model into what critics have branded a "tax haven".

But a Government document leaked in October predicted plummeting GDP if Britain reverts to WTO rules, with a devastating impact on the public finances. The draft Cabinet committee paper was based on a controversial study published by ex-Chancellor George Osborne in April during the referendum campaign. Despite being vilified at the time, the Treasury later stood by it. Setting out more detail of her negotiating position, Ms May said she respected the position of EU leaders, that single market membership would mean bowing to free movement rules.

So to gain full control of UK immigration policy, she said: "We do not seek membership of the single market. Instead we seek the greatest possible access to it through a new, comprehensive, bold and ambitious free trade agreement.

"That agreement may take in elements of current single market arrangements in certain areas – on the export of cars and lorries for example, or the freedom to provide financial services across national borders – as it makes no sense to start again from scratch when Britain and the remaining member states have adhered to the same rules for so many years."

Ms May said her desire to sign new trade deals with other countries meant the UK could not stay in the customs union as it stands, but she did also want "tariff-free trade with Europe".

She went on: "Whether that means we must reach a completely new customs agreement, become an associate member of the customs union in some way, or remain a signatory to some elements of it, I hold no preconceived position. I have an open mind on how we do it."

The Prime Minister said she wanted to avoid a "cliff edge" when any new terms came in and to adopt a "phased process of implementation".

But asked why the EU would give the UK a "free lunch", he said: "As the Prime Minister said, I think it's going to be good for both sides."

Germany’s Angela Merkel welcomed the clarity Ms May’s speech had brought, and chief EU Commission negotiator Michel Barnier said he "ready" to start talks.

European Council president Donald Tusk said Ms May’s speech meant the EU had a "more realistic" view of Britain's hopes, but other EU politicians had a less measured reaction.

Jan Philipp Albrecht, Green Party MEP for northern Germany, tweeted: "May: Go f**k yourself EU but please don’t let us down. Whine whine."

Claiming that May’s demands are "daydreams", he added: "Many of the 52 per cent of Brits voting leave clearly believed that they would stay in a common European market. They’re f**ked together with the 48 per cent."

Kathleen Van Brempt, a Belgian socialist, said the EU “is not a menu where the UK can freely pick and choose to their liking", while Swedish Moderate MEP Christofer Fjellner wrote: "UK leaving the single market will come at a large cost."

At home the response from Labour was muted, with leader Jeremy Corbyn expressing concern at the tone of Mrs May's address.

He added: "There seemed to be an implied threat that somewhere along the line, if all her optimism of a deal with the European Union didn't work, we would move into a low-tax, corporate taxation, bargain basement economy on the offshores of Europe."

The party’s shadow Brexit secretary Sir Keir Starmer suggested Ms May’s plan will not be a hard Brexit if she achieves what she wants.

But backbencher and ex-shadow chancellor Chris Leslie said leaving the single market is "not good news", while ex-shadow business secretary Chuka Umunna warned Britain could be on a path to "ten per cent, 13 per cent and up to 40 per cent tariffs on cars, clothes and meat".

Liberal Democrat leader Tim Farron accused Ms May of a "theft of democracy" for not allowing a referendum on her new deal and said she had wrongly claimed people voted to leave the single market in last June’s plebiscite.

He said: "This speech was a mixture of vague fantasies and toothless threats to our nearest neighbours. At the moment Britain needs friends more than ever, she has succeeded in uniting the rest of Europe against her."

The SNP’s Nicola Sturgeon said the direction Ms May was taking the country is not in Scotland’s interests and accused her of taking decisions based on the "obsessions of the hard-right of the Tory party".

She added: "For all her warm words, it is now clear that the UK is heading for a hard Brexit, which threatens to be economically catastrophic."

JAKARTA - Hasil riset HD Capital meyakini, hari ini Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) mampu kembali menguat. Diprediksi penguatan IHSG bakal berkisar dalam rentang support 4.900-4855-4.750 dan resistance 4.985-5.050-5.150.

Analis Senior HD Capital Yuganur Wijanarko mengatakan, memang laju IHSG pada perdagangan kemarin melemah. Namun masih ada sebagian investor terutama asing yang masih melakukan pembelian. Bahkan investor asing tercatat melakukan pembelian sebesar Rp410,84 miliar.

"Kami melihat aksi jual mendadak harian pelaku pasar yg terkena imbas volatilitas overnight regional dilawan oleh pembelian saham big cap dan lapis dua pilihan, yang memperkuat kaki-kaki sang banteng untuk menopang kontinuasi kenaikan berikutnya ke 5.000," tuturnya dalam riset, Jakarta, Jumat (10/6/2016).

Untuk itu, Yuganur menyarankan agar ikut melakukan aksi beli pada perdagangan hari ini. Dirinya juga merekomendasikan untuk memboyong saham-saham big cap dan lapis kedua. Berikut rekomendasi saham HD Capital selengkapnya:

1. PT Bank Mandiri Tbk (BMRI) (BUY) (Trading target: Rp9.650-9.850)

Secara teknikal pattern perbaikan short dan medium term trend di emitten perbankan small cap BUMN ini membuatnya menarik untuk di akumulasi melihat kinerja expektasi earnings kedepan di 2016-2017 dengan skenario kenaikan berikutnya menuju resistance psikologis di Rp9.650-850

Entry (1) Rp9.375, Entry (2) Rp9.275, Cut loss point: Rp9.125

2. PT Aneka Tambang Tbk (ANTM) (Trading target Rp775)

Harga komoditas yang mulai bottoming di low 10 tahun terakhir dan valuasi sektor yang cukup murah setelah tertekan sekian lama membuat emitten tambamh ini menarik untuk di akumulasi jangka medium term, rekomen akumulasi untuk potensi kenaikan berikutnya.

Entry (1) Rp705, Entry (2) Rp695, Cut loss point: Rp675

3. PT Lippo Karawaci Tbk (LPKR) (Trading target Rp.1.100)

Secara teknikal perbaikan short dan medium term trend emitten property ini dapat digunakan sebagai akumulasi untuk kontinuasi kenaikan short dan medium term berikutnya ke Rp1.100

Entry (1) Rp1.025, Entry (2) Rp1.010, Cut loss point: Rp980

4. PT Wika Beton Tbk (WTON) (BUY) (Trading Target Rp960-980)

Pattern perbaikan momentum dalam short dan medium term konstruksi BUMN ini dapat digunakan sebagai trading opportunity mengikuti kontinuasi kenaikan berikutnya ke resistance psikologis Rp960-980.

Entry (1) Rp930, Entry (2) Rp910, cut loss point: Rp890

(dni)JAKARTA okezone - Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) pada perdagangan akhir pekan ini diperkirakan masih terkena aksi jual. IHSG berada di rentang 4.814-4.913.

"IHSG diperkirakan berpeluang terkena lanjutan aksi jual merujuk kejatuhan EIDO 1,64 persen, indeks DJIA 0,11 persen, minyak 1,31 persen, nikel 0,28 persen dan timah 0,38 persen," ujar Head analis MNC Securities Edwin Sebayang dalam risetnya, Jakarta, Jumat (10/6/2016).

Menurutnya, setelah indeks DJIA naik tiga hari sebesar 200,81 poin atau 1,13 persen, akhirinya DJIA tumbang juga 19,86 poin atau 0,11 persen seiring kejatuhan harga minyak mentah WTI 19,86 di tengah lebih sepinya perdagangan Kamis tercermin dalam volume perdagangan berjumlah 6,1 miliar saham (lebih kecil dibandingkan rata-rata 20 hari perdagangan terakhir berjumlah 6,8 miliar saham).

MNC Securities juga mengamati perkembangan emiten PTPP di mana dari Januari hingga Mei 2016 berhasil mengantongi kontrak baru senilai Rp7,2 triliun atau 22,23 persen dari target sepanjang tahun 2016 sebesar Rp31 triliun. Pencapaian kontrak baru terdiri kontrak kegiatan usaha induk perusahaan sebesar Rp5,22 triliun (seperti pembangunan BNI Tower Rp719 miliar, apartemen Pertamina RU di Balikpapan Rp497 miliar, mobil power plnt Rp447 miliar dan Hotel Avan-Bali Rp335 miliar) dan anak perusahaan Rp2,02 triliun.

Selain itu, PT Waskita Karya (WSKT) menyatakan berencana menjual kepemilikan atau operasional 15 ruas tol yg dimilki kepada investor lain. Adapun ke 15 ruas tol yang akan dijual seperti: Medan-Kualanamu-Tebing Tinggi; Pegajan-Palembang; Solo-Ngawi; Ngawi-Kertosono dan lain-lain.

JAKARTA. Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) ditutup melemah 0,80% di level 4.876,79. Pergerakan IHSG cenderung tertekan sejak awal sesi terimbas dari sentimen regional dan kekhawatiran investor asing terhadap pertumbuhan penjualan eceran.

Lanjar Nafi, Analis Reliance Securities mengatakan mayoritas bursa di Asia terkoreksi setelah data pekerja di AS tidak cukup baik, perkiraan pertumbuhan yang lebih rendah dari World Bank dan meningkatnya referendum U.K di Uni Eropa.

BACA JUGA :

Ada 134 saham yang memberikan tenaga bagi IHSG. Sedangkan jumlah saham yang turun sebanyak 30 dan 59 saham lainnya diam di tempat. Volume transaksi pagi ini melibatkan 502,063 juta saham dengan nilai transaksi Rp 462,853 miliar.

Sementara itu, secara sektoral, terdapat sembilan sektor yang melaju. Tiga sektor dengan kenaikan terbesar di antaranya: sektor agrikultur naik 1,03%, sektor perdagangan naik 0,89%, dan sektor infrastruktur naik 0,81%.

Saham-saham indeks LQ 45 yang menghuni posisi top gainers pagi ini di antaranya: PT Matahari Department Store Tbk (LPPF) naik 3,77% menjadi Rp 19.975, PT Asrtra Agro Lestari Tbk (AALI) naik 2,89% menjadi Rp 15.125, dan PT Waskita Karya Tbk (WSKT) naik 2,07% menjadi Rp 2.460.

Sementara itu, penghuni top losers indeks LQ 45 pagi ini yaitu: PT Pakuwon Jati Tbk (PWON) turun 0,88% menjadi Rp 790, PT Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam (PTBA) turun 0,34% menjadi Rp 7.375, dan PT Bank Central Asia Tbk (BBCA) turun 0,19% menjadi Rp 13.100.

Bursa Asia cerah

Pergerakan IHSG sejalan dengan bursa Asia. Mengutip data Bloomberg, pada pukul 09.53 waktu Tokyo, indeks MSCI Asia Pacific naik 0,3% dan bergerak menuju level tertingginya sejak April lalu.

Sementara itu, indeks Topix Jepang naik 0,2%, indeks S&P/ASX 200 Australia naik 0,2%, dan indeks Kospi Korea Selatan naik 0,8%.

Banyak faktor yang menyebabkan bursa Asia tampak sumringah. Salah satunya, pernyataan Pimpinan the Fed Janet Yellen yang menyatakan akan menaikkan suku bunga acuan secara bertahap jika kondisi ekonomi AS semakin membaik.

Kenaikan bursa Asia kali ini memang banyak mendapat sokongan dari sektor komoditas. Hal itu tak mengherankan, sebab, pasar komoditas memasuki pasar bullish seiring melonjaknya harga mintak.

Sekadar informasi, The Bloomberg Commodity Index naik 1,1% kemarin dan sudah melonjak 20% dari posisi terendahnya pada Januari lalu. Sementara, harga minyak West Texas Intermediate turun 0,1% menjadi US$ 49,67 per barel setelah melompat 2,2% pada Senin kemarin. Di sisi lain, harga emas naik 0,1% menjadi US$ 1.246 per troy ounce.

Komoditi bullish, Bursa Asia lanjut mendaki

TOKYO. Bursa Asia memulai hari ini (7/6) dengan melanjutkan reli kemarin. Dengan demikian, pergerakan positif Bursa Asia sudah berlangsung selama tiga hari beruntun.

Mengutip data Bloomberg, pada pukul 09.53 waktu Tokyo, indeks MSCI Asia Pacific naik 0,3% dan bergerak menuju level tertingginya sejak April lalu.

Sementara itu, indeks Topix Jepang naik 0,2%, indeks S&P/ASX 200 Australia naik 0,2%, dan indeks Kospi Korea Selatan naik 0,8%.

Banyak faktor yang menyebabkan Bursa Asia tampak sumringah. Salah satunya, pernyataan Pimpinan the Fed Janet Yellen yang menyatakan akan menaikkan suku bunga acuan secara bertahap jika kondisi ekonomi AS semakin membaik.

Tidak seperti sepuluh hari lalu, Yellen tidak menyebut waktu pasti pelaksanaan kenaikan suku bunga. Dia hanya bilang, "Kemungkinannya (kenaikan suku bunga) dalam beberapa bulan ke depan."

"Sepertinya kita hanya akan mengalami kenaikan suku bunga sebanyak satu kali tahun ini. Hal itu akan berdampak positif bagi pasar saham dan komoditas," jelas Ric Spooner, chief analyst CMC Markets di Sydney.

Kenaikan Bursa Asia kali ini memang banyak mendapat sokongan dari sektor komoditas. Hal itu tak mengherankan, sebab, pasar komoditas memasuki pasar bullish seiring melonjaknya harga mintak.

per tgl 06 Juni 2016:Jakarta detik -Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) membuka perdagangan di awal pekan bulan Ramadan bergerak di teritori positif.

Pada perdagangan preopening, IHSG bergerak naik 8,646 poin (0,18%) ke 4.862,568. Sementara indeks LQ45 bergerak menguat 2,137 poin (0,26%) ke 833.078.

Mengawali perdagangan Senin (6/6/2016), IHSG dibuka menguat 12,715 poin (0,26%) ke 4.866,637. Sementara indeks LQ45 dibuka naik 2,885 poin (0,35%) ke 833.830.

Mengakhiri perdagangan pekan lalu, IHSG ditutup menguat 20,697 poin (0,43%) ke 4.853,922. Sementara indeks LQ45 ditutup naik 3,383 poin (0,41%) ke 830.941.

Sementara di pasar uang, dolar Amerika Serikat (AS) bergerak melemah terhadap rupiah. Berdasarkan data perdagangan Reuters, dolar AS pagi ini dibuka melemah ke Rp 13.461 dibandingkan posisi sore pekan lalu di Rp 13.590.

Berikut kondisi bursa saham Asia pagi ini:

Indeks Nikkei 225 turun 219,04 poin (1,32%) ke 16.425,26
Indeks Hang Seng turun 8,60 poin (0,04%) ke 20.938,64
Indeks SSE Composite naik 0,90 poin (0,03%) ke 2.938,88
Indeks Straits Times naik 12,33 poin (0,44%) ke 2.821,73

(drk/drk)
Jakarta detik -IHSG tutup di 4853,922 atau menguat 20,697 poin (0,43%). Penguatan terutama akibat naiknya sektor industri lain-lain, perbankan, tambang dan infrastruktur. Pada akhir pekan kemarin juga terjadi penguatan nilai tukar rupiah ke posisi Rp13612 per US dolar. Adamya optimisme pasar terhadap perbaikan ekonomi AS yang menyebabkan kenaikan tingkat suku bunga The Fed menjadi hal yang wajar. Akan tetapi ada juga sentimen negatif dari China dan Euro yang masih mengindikasikan perlambatan ekonomi.

Bursa global akhir pekan lalu berfluktuasidan cenderung turun. Indeks Eurostoxx di kawasan Euro akhir pekan lalu tutup koreksi 1,2% di 2997,55. Di Wall Street indeks DJIA dan S&P masing-masing koreksi 0,2% dan 0,3% di 17807,06 dan 2099,13.

Pasar merespon bervariasi keluarnya data tenaga kerja AS Mei lalu yang hanya menciptakan lapangan kerja 38 ribu pekerjaan di bawah perkiraan sebelumnya 159 ribu dan bulan sebelumnya 123 ribu. Ini merupakan angka terendah sejak September 2010 lalu. Buruknya angka tenaga kerja Mei lalu kembali menyurutkan ekspektasi kenaikan tingkat bunga memasuki paruh kedua tahun ini. Selain data tenaga kerja, data aktivitas sektor jasa di AS Mei lalu juga mengindikasikan perlambatan pertumbuhan dengan indeks ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI di 52,9 turun dari bulan sebelumnya 55,7.

Pada perdagangan awal pekan dan memasuki bulan Ramadan, IHSG diperkirakan akan bergerak konsolidasi dengan potensi melemah tipis. Langkah IHSG untuk menguat cukup berat dikarenakan aksi profit taking. secara teknikal indikator RSI dan Stochastic mulai memasuki area overbought. IHSG akan bergerak pada rentang 4810 hingga 4890.

(ang/ang) Bisnis.com, JAKARTA--Indeks harga saham gabungan (IHSG) pekan depan diperkirakan menembus level tertinggi dalam 6 bulan terakhir di level 4.900 yang sempat tertunda.

Analis PT HD Capital Tbk., Yuganur Wijanarko, menilai meski didera aksi jual mendadak oleh kaumbearish akibat tekanan volatilitas regional, dia melihat pembelian saham big cap dan lapis dua oleh pelaku pasar yang mulai bullish akan prospek makro ekonomi dan fundamental ke depan memperkuat kaki-kaki IHSG di 4.800.

"IHSG melanjutkan misi rally yang tertunda untuk menuju high 6 bulan terakhir di level resistancepsikologis 4.900," tuturnya, Minggu (5/6/2016).

Dia menambahkan, sentimen positif dari apresiasi real asset rupiah berbentuk properti dan efek dari proyek infrastruktur yang berjalan, serta naiknya harga komoditas terutama minyak dan produk turunan akibat expektasi pemulihan ekonomi global, seiring dengan kenaikan bunga The Fed pada bulan Juni, positif membuat IHSG terutama di saham properti dan pertambangan yang cukup terpuruk tahun lalu.

Berikut saham-saham pilihan sepekan:

1. Bumi Serpong Damai (BSDE) (BUY) (Trading target: Rp1.980), Entry buy (1) Rp1.850, Entry buy (2) Rp1.810, Cut loss point: Rp1.780.

2. Summarecon (SMRA) (BUY) (Trading target: Rp1.800), Entry (1) Rp1.635, Entry (2) Rp1.585, Cut-loss point: Rp1.525.

3. Adaro Energy (ADRO) (BUY) (Trading target Rp875), Entry: (1) Rp755, Entry (2) Rp715, Cut loss point Rp685.

4. Indika Energy (INDY) (BUY): (Trading target Rp725), Entry: (1) Rp615, Entry (2) Rp605, Cut loss point Rp585.

JAKARTA kontan. Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) diperkirakan akan bergerak bervariasi pada perdagangan awal pekan depan dengan kencenderungan terkoreksi. Pasalnya, indikator teknikal indeks menunjukan sinyal negatif.

Lanjar Nafi, analis Reliance Sekuritas mengatakan secara teknikal IHSG bergerak cenderung terkonsolidasi dengan break out resistance 4850. Kondisi pergerakannya masih cenderung bearish pada indikator stochastic dengan momentum yang juga terkonsolidasi dari indikator RSI.

Dengan percobaan break out pada level 4860 selama 2 kali membuat candlestick IHSG membentuk pola tweezers top dengan indikasi cukup negatif. "Sehingga diperkirakan IHSG masih akan bergerak mixed tertahan dengan range pergerakan 4.814-4.860." kata Lanjar dalam riset yang diterima KONTAN akhir pekan lalu.

Pada perdagangan akhir pekan lalu, IHSG ditutup menguat 20.70 poin atau 0.43% di level 4853.92 dengan volume moderate. Pergerakan IHSG cenderung sideways selama perdagangan dengan rentan 4.839 hingga 4.861.

Lanjar bilang, sentimen tax amnesty dan naiknya harga komoditi yang dipimpin oleh harga minyak masih menjadi trigger utama penguatan IHSG pada perdagangan akhir pekan lalu dimana sektor pertambangan dan property memimpin penguatan.

Investor asing kembali melakukan aksi beli bersih sebesar Rp 169.95 miliar sehingga sepanjang pekan lalu tercatta net buy Rp 1.6 triliun. Ini merupakan jumlah terbesar selama 15 minggu terakhir.

Bursa saham di Asia mayoritas menguat. Naiknya harga komoditas menupang penguatan pasar ekutias di Asia. Penurunan persediaan minyak di AS dalam empat minggu terakhir mampu kembali menjadi pendorong penguatan harga minyak. Sehingga investor kembali optimis pada ekonomi global yang kemungkinan cukup kuat menahan dampak capital out dari kenaikan suku bunga AS.

Bursa Eropa dibuka positif seiring optimisme investor pada ekonomi global melihat mulai memasuki area bullishnya harga komoditas. Data Kinerja sektor jasa di Eropa meningkat diatas ekspektasi dilevel 53.3 dari 52.9 diperiode sebelumnya menjadi salah satu faktor optimisme pasar meskipun tingkat penjualan ritelnya di Eropa berkontraksi dari ekspektasi dilevel 1.4% dari 1.8% dengan ekspektasi awal naik di 1.9%.

Menurut Lanjar, sentimen selanjutnya yang akan mempengaruhi pergerakanIHSG awal pekan adalah keputusan LTRO oleh ECB dan tingkat kepercayaan investor terhadap sentimen di Eropa.

Bisnis.com, SHANGHAI – Bursa saham China membukukan kenaikan mingguan terbesar sejak Maret, didukung oleh meningkatnya harapan bahwa MSCI akan memasukkan saham China ke dalam indeks mereka dan menghidupkan kembali minat asing di pasar China daratan.

Indeks CSI300 menguat 0,7% ke level 3.189,33, dan telah menguat sebesa 4,1% sepanjang minggu ini.

Sementara itu, Shanghai Composite Index menguat 0,5% ke level 2.938,68 poin, dan menguat 4,2% sepanjang minggu ini.

Akan tetapi, kenaikan lebih lanjut berakhir pada hari Jumat menyusul kekhawatiran perlambatan ekonomi dan tekanan pada mata uang yuan.

Investor menunggu data China bulan Mei minggu depan untuk petunjuk apakah ekonomi mulai stabil.

Data pada Maret cukup menggembirakan, tapi data April dan survei aktivitas bisnis bulan Mei menunjukkan pelemahan.

Ekspektasi yang tumbuh pada kenaikan suku bunga AS dan dorongan atas dolar AS juga telah memunculkan kembali kekhawatiran akan tekanan depresiasi pada mata uang China.

Analis yang disurvei oleh Reuters memperkirakan yuan melemah sekitar 2,5% terhadap dolar AS pada tahun depan.

sektor konsumen, kesehatan dan teknologi meningkat tajam, namun energi dan dan bahan baku melemah.

per tgl 03 Juni 2016: Bisnis.com, JAKARTA – Indeks harga saham gabungan (IHSG) menguat pada akhir sesi I perdagangan siang ini, Jumat (3/6/2016).

Di akhir sesi I, IHSG menguat sebesar 0,22% atau 10,56 poin ke 4.843,78, dengan pergerakan di kisaran 4.843,78 - 4.861,30, setelah dibuka dengan dengan penguatan sebesar 0,25% atau 12,20 poin ke level 4.845,42.

Dari 528 saham yang diperdagangkan di Bursa Efek Indonesia, 162 saham menguat, 87 saham melemah, dan 279 saham stagnan.

Tujuh dari sembilan indeks sektoral IHSG bergerak di zona hijau dengan support utama dari properti yang menguat 1,31% dan sektor infrastruktur yang naik 0,66%.

Adapun dua sektor lainnya bergerak melemah, yaitu sektor finansial dan konsumer dengan pelemahan masing-masing 0,26%.

Tim riset Samuel Sekuritas menilai penguatan IHSG hari ini mengikuti pergerakan bursa Asia Pacific yang cenderung menguat serta ditopang pergerakan nilai tukar rupiah.

"Kami melihat IHSG berpotensi ditutup menguat tipis merefleksikan kenaikan indeks APAC dan penguatan nilai tukar rupiah, penguatan pasar EIDO dan ekspektasi membaiknya laporan employment dari AS nanti malam," paparnya dalam riset.

Di sisi lain, nilai tukar rupiah terpantau menguat sebesar 0,38% atau 52 poin ke Rp13.591 per dolar AS pada pukul 12.05 WIB.

Bisnis.com, JAKARTA – Indeks harga saham gabungan (IHSG) bergerak menguat pada awal perdagangan pagi ini, Juamt (3/6/2016).

IHSG dibuka menguat sebesar 0,25% atau 12,20 poin ke level 4.845,42 dan masih bergerak menguat sebesar 0,46% atau 22,40 poin ke level 4.855,62 pada pukul 09.06 WIB.

Dari 528 saham yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia, 30 saham bergerak menguat, 4 saham melemah, dan 494 saham lainnya stagnan.

Seluruh indeks sektoral IHSG bergerak di zona hijau pagi ini, dengan support utama dari sektor infrastruktur yang menguat 1,03%, diikuti oleh sektor konsumer dengan penguatan 0,29%.

Dalam risetnya, Tim Riset Sinarmas Sekuritas memprediksi bergerak mixed dan memperkirakan indeks berpeluang melanjutkan kenaikannya dengan tren yang positif dalam beberapa hari kedepan.

Jika dilihat dari MACD untuk IHSG. Posisi garis MACD sudah memotong nilai nol (centerline) dan memasuki area positif.

“Pergerakan IHSG hari ini kami estimasi akan menguat,” paparnya dalam riset.

Sejalan dengan IHSG, indeks Bisnis27 bergerak menguat 0,53% atau 2,15 poin ke 410,56 pada pukul 09.12 WIB, setelah dibuka dengan penguatan sebesar 0,54% atau 2,22 poin ke 410,63.

Sementara itu, rupiah masih terpantau menguat sebesar 0,23% atau 32 poin ke Rp13.611 per dolar AS.

Saham-saham pendorong IHSG pada awal perdagangan:

TLKM	+1,33%
ASII	+0,77%
BMRI	+0,81%
BBRI	+0,49%

Saham-saham penekan IHSG pada awal perdagangan:

BBCA	-0,76%
HMSP	-0,25%
LPPF	-0,66%
AKRA	-0,80%

Sumber: Bloomberg

Bisnis.com, JAKARTA - Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) dibuka menguat 0,61% atau 3,98 poin ke level 657,92 pagi ini, Jumat (3/6/2016).

Indeks syariah kemudian melanjutkan penguatan sebesar 0,68% atau 4,44 poin ke level 657,47 pada pukul 9.29 WIB.

Pergerakan JII sejalan dengan pergerakan indeks harga saham gabungan (IHSG) yang juga menguat sebesar 0,33% atau 15,93 poin ke posisi 4.849,15 pada pukul 9.32 WIB.

Sebanyak 23 saham syariah menguat, 5 saham melemah, dan 2 saham stagnan dari 30 saham syariah yang diperdagangkan.

Saham PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk. (TLKM) yang naik sebesar 1,06% dan PT Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Tbk. (MIKA) yang melonjak 2,71% menjadi pendorong utama terhadap penguatan JII pada awal perdagangan hari ini.

Sepanjang pagi ini, JII bergerak di kisaran 656,80-659,84.

Saham-saham syariah yang menguat pagi ini:

TLKM	+1,06%
MIKA	+2,71%
ASII	+0,38%
PGAS	+1,67%

Saham-saham syariah yang melemah pagi ini:

LPPF	-1,31%
PTBA	-1,08%
WSKT	-0,41%
SILO	-0,98%

Sumber: Bloomberg

JAKARTA okezone - Head Analis MNC Securities, Edwin Sebayang, menuturkan keputusan ini seperti petir di siang hari bolong. Pasalnya, begitu banyak pihak optimistis S&P akan menaikkan rating Indonesia ke Investment Grade.

Menurut dia, investment grade sudah sirna diterpa angin, karena ternyata S&P rating agency tidak mengubah rating Indonesia sama seperti beberapa tahun lalu. Dengan sentimen tersebut, maka Pola White Candle terbentuk atas Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal hari ini.

Meski demikian, ada beberapa saham yang dapat diperdagangkan hari ini, Kamis (2/6/2016).

Saham PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk (BSDE) Rp1.820-Rp1.905

Pola Four White Soldiers terbentuk atas BSDE mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. Buy Rp1.850

Saham PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLKM) Rp3.670-Rp3.790

Pola Inverted Hammer terbentuk atas TLKM mengindikasikan munculnya aksi beli minor. Buy Rp3.720

Saham PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia Tbk (BBRI) Rp10.250-Rp10.700

Pola Bullish Harami terbentuk atas BBRI mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. Buy Rp10.450

Saham PT Semen Indonesia Tbk (SMGR) Rp8.900-Rp9.400

Pola Bullish Harami terbentuk atas SMGR mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. Buy Rp9.100

Saham PT Japfa Tbk (JPFA) Rp875-Rp980

Pola Bullish Harami terbentuk atas JPFA mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. Buy Rp925

Saham PT Unilever Indonesia Tbk (UNVR) Rp42.950-Rp43.850

Pola White Marubozu terbentuk atas UNVR mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. Buy Rp43.550

Saham PT Jasa Marga Tbk (JSMR) Rp5.275-Rp5.450

Pola Bearish Separating Lines terbentuk atas JSMR mengindikasikan Bearish Reversal. BOW Rp5.375

Saham PT Bank Negara Indonesia Tbk (BBNI) Rp4.690-Rp4.830

Pola Inverted Hammer terbentuk atas BBNI mengindikasikan munculnya profit taking. BOW Rp4.760

Saham PT PP Tbk (PTPP) Rp3.620-Rp3.720

Pola Hammer terbentuk atas PTPP mengindikasikan munculnya profit taking. BOW Rp3.670

Saham PT Adhi Karya Tbk (ADHI) Rp2.480-Rp2.580

Pola Four Price Doji terbentuk atas ADHI mengindikasikan Bearish Reversal. BOW Rp2.540

Saham PT United Tractor Tbk (UNTR) Rp13.500-Rp14.500

Pola Bearish Engulfing terbentuk atas UNTR mengindikasikan Bearish Reversal. BOW Rp13.900

Saham PT Waskita Karya Tbk (WSKT) Rp2.470-Rp2.570

Pola Three Black Crows terbentuk atas WSKT mengindikasikan Bearish Continuation. BOW Rp2.500

Saham PT Gudang Garam Tbk (GGRM) Rp68.050-Rp71.400

Pola Inverted Hammer terbentuk atas GGRM mengindikasikan Bearish Reversal. BOW Rp68.950.

(mrt)

Jakarta detik-IHSG (1/6) ditutup naik 43 poin (+0,89%) ke level 4.839,67 dengan nilai transaksi di pasar reguler sebesar Rp 3,5 triliun, terdorong saham konsumer setelah keluarnya data inflasi yang menunjukkan angka yang lebih tinggi dari ekspektasi pasar.

Seluruh sektor mengalami kenaikan dipimpin sektor konsumer dan aneka industri. Sebanyak 175 saham mengalami kenaikan, 133 saham mengalami penurunan, 98 saham tidak mengalami perubahan, dan 201 saham tidak mengalami perdagangan.

Saham-saham yang menjadi pendorong bursa antara lain HMSP, BMRI, BBCA, ASII, dan KLBF, di mana asing tercatat melakukan net buy di pasar reguler sebesar Rp 148,3 miliar dengan saham-saham yang banyak dibeli asing antara lain TLKM, BMRI, BBCA, KLBF, dan HMSP.

Secara teknikal, indeks naik namun volume rendah dan masih test MA50. Stochastic overbought sementara RSI dan MACD positif.

Hari ini (2/6) IHSG diperkirakan akan bergerak mixed cenderung melemah terbatas di kisaran 4.820-4.870 dengan saham-saham yang dapat diperhatikan antara lain ADRO, BEST, ERAA, MNCN, SRIL.

Rupiah (1/6) ditutup melemah ke level Rp 13.661/US$, dan hari ini (2/6) diperkirakan akan bergerak di kisaran Rp 13.600-Rp 13.700/US$ dengan kecenderungan melemah.

(wdl/wdl)

Bisnis.com, JAKARTA - Indeks harga saham gabungan (IHSG) pada perdagangan Kamis (2/6/2016) berpeluang lanjutkan penguatan didorong oleh rilis data ekonomi yang stabil.

Kepala Riset PT Asjaya Indosurya Securities William Surya Wijaya mengatakan rilis data ekonomi pada awal bulan yang stabil menunjukkan kondisi perekonomian dalam negeri dalam keadaan sehat. Hal ini merupakan salah satu faktor yang dapat memberikan dorongan untuk IHSG melanjutkan kenaikannya.

"IHSG ada di kisaran 4.774-4.877. IHSG di support 4.774 terlihat terjaga cukup kuat sehingga potensi menembus 4.877 terbuka semakin lebar," katanya dalam riset, Kamis (2/6/2016).

Selain itu, harga komoditas yang nulai merangkak naik memberikan sentimen positif terhadap pola gerak beberapa emiten yang berkaitan dengan komoditas dalam IHSG.

Capital inflow juga terlihat terus terjadi menunjukkan tekanan berkurang. Meski demikian, tetap waspada dengan segala risiko investasi yang diambil. "Selalu melihat peluang koreksi sehat sebagai peluang untuk melakukan akumulasi pembelian mengingat kondisi perekonomian yang stabil dan bertumbuh."

Adapun, menu saham pilihan hari ini a.l KLBF, BMRI, EXCL, PPRP, KAEF, BBNI, TBIG, TLKM, UNVR.

Bisnis.com, JAKARTA- HD Capital memperkirakan indeks harga saham gabungan pada perdagangan hari ini, Kamis (2/6/2016) bergerak di kisaran support 4.800-4.750-4.670-4.580-4.615-4.525, dan resisten 4.875-4.925-5.050.

“Banteng mulai bergairah kembali,” kata Periset Senior HD Capital Yuganur Wijanarko dalam risetnya.

Walaupun terimbas aksi jual kaum beruang yang berusaha menekan IHSG turun lebih lanjut, ujarnya, pembelian saham big cap index drivers dan lapis dua oleh kaum banteng dapat memantulkan IHSG diatas level psikologis 4.800.

“Untuk meneruskan usaha menuju resistance psikologis berikutnya di 4.900,” kata Yuganur.

HD Capital merekomendasikan saham berikut:

Bank BRI (BRI)

BUY. Trading target Rp10.875

Secara teknikal pattern perbaikan short dan medium term trend di emiten perbankan small cap BUMN ini membuatnya menarik untuk di akumulasi melihat kinerja ekspektasi earnings kedepan di 2016-2017 dengan skenario kenaikan berikutnya menuju resisten psikologis di Rp10.875

Entry (1) Rp10.375, Entry (2) Rp10.275, Cut loss point Rp10.175

Adaro Energy (ADRO)

Trading target Rp750

Harga komoditas yang mulai bottoming di low 10 tahun terakhir dan valuasi sektor yang cukup murah setelah tertekan sekian lama membuat saham tambang ini menarik untuk di akumulasi jangka medium term, rekomen akumulasi untuk potensi kenaikan berikutnya.

Entry (1) Rp705 Entry (2) Rp695, Cut loss point Rp675

Alam Sutera (ASRI)

Trading target Rp415

Secara teknikal perbaikan short dan medium term trend emiten properti ini dapat digunakan sebagai akumulasi untuk kontinuasi kenaikan short dan medium term berikutnya ke Rp415

Entry (1) Rp392, Entry (2) Rp385, Cut loss point Rp377

Waskita (WSKT)

BUY. Trading target Rp2.750

Pattern perbaikan momentum dalam short dan medium term konstruksi BUMN ini dapat digunakan sebagai trading opportunity mengikuti kontinuasi kenaikan berikutnya ke resisten psikologis Rp2.750

Entry (1) Rp2.490, Entry (2) Rp2.430, cut loss point Rp2.380

Sektor	Perubahan
Aneka industri	+0,91%
Tambang	+0,69%
Industri dasar	+0,35%
Konsumer	+0,05%
Properti	+0,01%
Infrastruktur	-0,22%
Finansial	-0,04%
Pertanian	-0,03%
Perdagangan	-0,03%

Kode	Perubahan
BMRI	+1,89%
HMSP	+0,66%
TLKM	+0,77%
CPIN	+5,08%
ICBP	+2,30%

Kode	Perubahan
AKKU	+22,52%
BMSR	+20,19%
SQMI	+14,74%
CMPP	+13,64%
GLOB	+10,58%

(I)ndeks (H)arga (S)aham (G)abungan pindah k ERA 6K @ (I)ndeks (H)arga (S)aham (G)abungan